Tuesday, October 11, 2011

October 11: Holders of 2nds are going to lose how many billions? Appraisal lawsuits; US Government defines "flood"

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Sweet home, Chicago...Chicago's City Council published an ordinance that


would require


banks, mortgage servicers and institutional investors to maintain vacant


properties


before the homes have gone through foreclosure. It requires securitization


trustees


to assume liability for the maintenance, security, and upkeep of properties


in their


trusts within 30 days of a property becoming vacant. But Tom Deutsch,


executive


director of the American Securitization Forum, called the ordinance


"illegal," because


it does not require that a borrower be in default or foreclosure as a


condition


of vacancy. Rather, the banks, mortgage servicers and investors will now be


responsible


for determining if a property is vacant even if a borrower is not delinquent


or


has not been foreclosed upon, he said. ASF is a trade group that represents


investors


and servicers.





Of course this is a big deal with servicers: how would a servicer know when


a home


becomes vacant? Under the ordinance, the borrower could still be making


payments,


but if the property is vacant, then the servicer is on the hook for internal


and


 external maintenance. There's always the nuclear option - to stop buying


loans


with homes that are secured with Chicago properties! No servicers that I


know of


 are contemplating that, but it has been done in the past - when Georgia


passed


some compliance legislation with Assignee Liability. Once again - unintended


consequences.


A mortgage banking conference is not simply a few thousand mostly male


mostly Caucasian


mostly dressed in suits mostly age 35-55 folks standing in the lobby. "A


gathering


of protesters from a variety of community groups congregated late Monday


afternoon


outside the Hyatt Regency in Chicago, where more than 2,100 people in the


mortgage-banking


field are attending their industry's annual convention this week. Protesters


demanded


relief for struggling homeowners, including loan-principal reduction for


those underwater


on their mortgages, said Tracy Van Slyke, co-director of New Bottom Line, a


campaign


that challenges big bank interests on behalf of struggling and middle-class


communities.


The group also thinks banks aren't paying their fair share of taxes and


wants them


to invest more in small businesses, she said. One estimate put the crowd at


250


people, many of them chanting, "Hey, hey, ho, ho, Wall Street bankers got to


go."


Some hoisted signs, including one that read, 'They get rich. We get


foreclosed.'"


It was all very exciting, and some of the folks in the biz glanced up from


their


 Blackberries.





The third quarter is over, but word is in from the second quarter that the


eight


 national banks and single federal savings association servicing the largest


loan


portfolios reported that first mortgage performance declined across all


categories


of delinquencies during the second quarter of 2011.  The information is part


of


the Office of Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) Mortgage Metrics Report


which covers


63% of all outstanding first mortgages in the nation. According to the


report, current


and performing loans represented 88.6 percent of the banks' portfolios in


the first


quarter but declined to 88 percent by the end of the second quarter.  This


is still


an improvement from the second quarter of 2010 when 87.3 percent of the


loans in


 the portfolios were current. But hey, why take my word for it? Seeing is


believing:


OCCMetrics


[http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=zy6u9cdab&et=1108078792206&s=8721&e=0013n0h9R


9s_tSlRp54AFZyTik0ZOkBvaGNoB3qInvBNS3vlhx0Ww6Q9myRFxDaDw92rG7j7omiBnuKL-RIFS


YnVdPnKJOODvV8cu-ia3mEXx0stXk2Kc5N1oqEF__6hfQOC27FQYAdDZHkgC8QQhj34Wa4tClERB


O6Ezsgd7e0BgV5zl64Ypu7UiM9et9KXS6d].


REIT's continue to be in the news. Residential REIT's constitute a


noticeable portion


of the demand for MBS's, and their health is judged as important to loan


originations.


Losses over the past two days among certain REIT's, however, have been more


than


 11% in share price before rebounding yesterday. "While the


repurchase-agreement,


or repo, market for government- backed mortgage bonds that many REITS rely


on for


funding is in 'good' shape, it may face pressure if Europe's banks need to


retrench,"


on executive noted. I know that the article is a little dated, but one can


read


more at: REITTroubles


[http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=zy6u9cdab&et=1108078792206&s=8721&e=0013n0h9R


9s_tSdANK7-j0r7dnGOWqaKdeBRrocEeNXjGv-TNDkfeAJULWjotplDQTO6qK1sPOaO9vSBB0-M5


4YaruYW15MPD6nXMrJGTZpVgtkaYhOJKz65-1lR43kKQmh49_liakFo2SBITgFlvN8UW2axlbAWx


o2v_gffOwrP8RqByognP88fCXg98NyR-F7sSkc0ObNefn43acysFvK-3bcAaKXp69NziA_52BUaX


wWS11Z3lC2kRiJwP6emHXl].


A few years ago, a friend of mine bought a foreclosed-upon home "on the


courthouse


steps." He made quite a bit of money on the deal, much of from the 2nd lien


holder,


in this case a large money center bank, walking away from their $200,000 2nd


in


spite of there being plenty of equity. According to people who do this


regularly,


this is not uncommon ("there are just too many properties for banks to deal


with


 out there"), and it made me wonder about the financial situation of any


large holders


of 2nd mortgages. These concerns have definitely become mainstream:


NoMore2nds?


[http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=zy6u9cdab&et=1108078792206&s=8721&e=0013n0h9R


9s_tTv9KM1tJ1W25AkemyAWlVbT3CZ6gTG78SgfdcPmss-ffeDyVPhVKtTZPMyoexi7_9rv4rMEg


VWqJ0PPaeDLFunwr3oRUhR5G2oEIIitHxzWBO2vVaXKBhUd7GSO0qCcK6bbgQpubZbgkGqDxNM_i


aLjnQhnzNZH_xPgsuuv9IRgUhJEEhBA-YzhbcsB-uHnRCvFGQb0187v9Wi30NR8Xal]


For appraisers who like to follow lawsuits, here is a good site passed along


by


Jason Oelrich in Washington (thank you!): IShouldHaveBeenALawyer


[http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=zy6u9cdab&et=1108078792206&s=8721&e=0013n0h9R


9s_tTqncJ0WErVUUNzI0AwP_WWEyi5yJXPKhnojldb4Fn3VeVvYmxspUeaNT48z4Y1K9cJe1K_hI


yM3XprXdQlBHWkqYZzn8cqUzmQCQXkMZdT54Ky-40Fgwe4Lrs60p8cDKA=].


But appraisals determine values and owner's equity. And the Washington Post


carried


an article by Ken Harney addressing equity on a state level


[http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=zy6u9cdab&et=1108078792206&s=8721&e=0013n0h9R


9s_tT39MaGb3WBUEmz5zZMox9P_yeSGajxpwHvqZqEz1s-p_hcvxQhr-jXWtM1d51ItAqPsdfThw


wAn-LpSC4QQI86lRRlTw70kUvqVf8KKmt8sCwtCk_Q1IB9JQA6SfmMpyivyNGMxE37DsesAqimCd


OaOyShfHI_30vXMVP8AcbHK9nzLhVfkdTaqSSVmQ8mbtPoc_VZNan2JXyQN4VdCZyIRWpoNvr7Jd


hSOpzhSHnitcdAAt_uxDdq].


David C. writes, "I've been working in the AMC space on for about 2 years.


I feel


like I drank a lot of cool-aid initially.  I really believed the national


AMC's


had the best interests of the industry in mind in the way they conducted


their businesses.


 Now having been closely involved I see many of them for what they are, a


bunch


of completely self-serving, poorly managed, liars. I know that sounds harsh


but


the goal in the business is to get the appraiser to do as much work as


possible


at the lowest possible cost. Who cares what the finished product looks like?


I don't


want to come across too commercial but I joined InHouse because they have an


excellent


platform at a fair price for the mortgage banker to self-manage. 8 out of 10


appraisals


flow through the system with relatively few issues, there's no reason


someone needs


to take $150 to $200 for placing and order and getting it to the client.


AMC's


should only be used for the hard to do outliers.  Let them earn the spread.


I could


go on for hours, but suffice to say, in a year most originators will be


self-managed


and the mortgage banking industry will be much better off."


What is a flood? I guess Webster's Dictionary isn't adequate, so the U.S.


Government


would like to tell you: 40DaysAnd40Nights


[http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=zy6u9cdab&et=1108078792206&s=8721&e=0013n0h9R


9s_tRVNkTIoccPRfjX0_I5AopCOIsuQI6jlN1s17QqOAAImbBYYKt1h5QkzGCymMQOY9VMMdeZJU


ZK2yi_YQRNdc9VzjhvMGgnaQlBHY3m4wb-C19c6ajPX8zHC5yJJ9Eyjdas-M2tdytogbfCIGT7yf


rBJNeW4GJRZzHzBugRiV_fTA==].


I bring this up because much of our nation is subject to flooding, which


directly


impacts mortgage lending. And those who follow it know that what we have now


only


goes through November 18th, so it is subject to the typical last-minute


whims of


 our government: FEMA


[http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=zy6u9cdab&et=1108078792206&s=8721&e=0013n0h9R


9s_tSjeQsu7GMmjZ7ogNHOrSq1rcMDotojivgxMrOCM9ivme2-zrlbl-yHol-avaCSY42K8zL-EY


YAMCk7yfKSQHS5oOwFediBdqRbfIWUIWXTzo3nYds6dZwcbh06rwYC-aQ=].





Turning to investors, all of whom are whom are staying up late at the


conference


 in Chicago, Bank of America issued a disaster update for New York.





SunTrust Mortgage revised its guidelines so that "we no longer include a


monthly


 payment in the borrower's debt-to-income (DTI) when the credit report shows


a zero


balance. We are also providing additional relief to exclude a debt from the


borrower's


DTI when an account is paid and closed at closing. For credit reports that


do not


reflect a monthly payment but have a balance, we are aligning our non-AUS,


DU and


LP guidelines for best execution. In addition, we have revised the revolving


account


guidance for FHA and VA loans." SunTrust also revised its Homebuyer


Education Provider


guidelines to delete Private Mortgage Insurance (PMI) and Republic Mortgage


Company


as eligible providers for Homebuyer Education.





GMAC sent out a flurry of changes. Its correspondent clients learned of some


changes


to its Veros appraisal ordering platform. Among others, "Correspondent


Clients will


be able to choose an Appraisal Management Company (AMC) within the Veros


application


on Jumbo transactions. The AMCs are displayed on the Orders tab. Select from


the


 four options available in the dropdown titled 'Distribution Rule'." And


"The ability


to place a Rush order is no longer available."





"GMAC Bank currently requires that loans sold to GMAC Bank must be


underwritten


and closed in the name of the Client and that Client must have delegated


underwriting


authority for the loans that it underwrites. We have added the following new


representation


and warranty to the Client Guide: On loans sold to Correspondent Funding,


each loan


was closed in Client's name. Each loan brokered to Client for underwriting


and closing


in the name of Client was underwritten by Client and Client had delegated


underwriting


authority for such loan."





GMAC also reminded us that there is a lapse in funding Rural Development


loans ("GMACB


will not fund or purchase any loans with Conditional Commitments "subject


to" availability


of funds") and that the VA Funding Fee changes have been temporarily delayed


until


November 18, 2011.


Ever wondered about the life of a loan? Mountain West Financial is putting


on a


30 minute session tomorrow at 1PM PST about what happens: "Follow a loan's


journey


from submission to funding" (second only to the life a salmon): MWF


[http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=zy6u9cdab&et=1108078792206&s=8721&e=0013n0h9R


9s_tRc-o2IA3tmAQsXDJqbDLKDLM_Lu-JGQz6h3wUxzKxwzGh_g9R2aZcVHSfelh8Ci1T4ZJS6_i


pZCiUDFXTvKvDD_NMUvERTY7sUvIdKOhHjTIOkRpeCNLezdxG4oQgMmKGxQAo85nQ82w==].





A look at the markets shows that rates have crept up a little. We have the


FOMC


minutes today, Wednesday the MBA app numbers. Thursday things "hot up" a


little


with Jobless Claims and some trade balance numbers. Friday we have Retail


Sales


for September, import & export prices, and a University of Michigan


Sentiment number.


Really, aside from the FOMC minutes and Retail Sales, it is a pretty ho-hum


week.


The 10-yr is at 2.15% and MBS prices are slightly worse.





The commanding officer at the Russian military academy (the equivalent of a


4-star


general in the U.S.) gave a lecture on Potential Problems and Military


Strategy.


 At the end of the lecture, he asked for questions.


An officer stood to ask, "Will there be a third world war? And will Russia


take


part in it?"


The general answered both questions in the affirmative.


Another officer asked, "Who will be the enemy?"


The general replied, "All indications point to China ".


Everyone in the audience was shocked. A third officer remarked, "General, we


are


 a nation of only 150 million, compared to the 1.5 billion Chinese. Can we


win at


all, or even survive?"


The general answered, "Just think of this a moment: In modern warfare, it is


not


 the quantity of soldiers that matters but the quality of an army's


capabilities.


For example, in the Middle East there have been wars recently in which 5


million


 Jews fought against 150 million Arabs; Israel was always victorious."


After a small pause, yet another officer from the back of the auditorium


asked,


"Do we have enough Jews?"





If you're interested, visit my twice-a-month blog at the STRATMOR Group web


site




[http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=zy6u9cdab&et=1106435366068&s=4179&e=001SVt-lj


bp53436QjxD9vbwURtIPPjV05jEcEKyBN3SjS2forXe0C_foO8RjEV-Uye0N7Z_Sh1il0SRXPx6P


jQauayNXQjni-Hc9Sseu-hhZcR1ujeZyAEpw==]


. The current blog takes a look at Fannie & Freddie & the FHFA, and the


changes


they have in the hopper. If you have both the time and inclination, make a


comment


on what I have written, or on other comments so that folks can learn what's


going


on out there from the other readers.





Rob





(Check out




[http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=zy6u9cdab&t=oqdjk4hab.0.epg7qedab.zy6u9cdab.8


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For archived commentaries, go to




[http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=zy6u9cdab&t=oqdjk4hab.0.fpg7qedab.zy6u9cdab.8


721&ts=S0684&p=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.robchrisman.com%2F].


Copyright 2011 Rob Chrisman.  All rights reserved. Occasional paid notices


do appear.


This report or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or


redistributed without


the written consent of Rob Chrisman.)


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