Tuesday, November 15, 2011

November 15: More mortgage jobs; orange alert for FHA program? Loan amount debate winds down; who will buy HARP 2.0 loans?

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This has nothing to do with mortgage banking or real estate, but it is


definitely worth 30 seconds for anyone who drives or has a pet:


IAMNotSuperCool


[http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=zy6u9cdab&et=1108621514216&s=8721&e=001POofEc


qjL0iKpQXumVe16a6De4Xwhe__iQWyFh3sCSkPg61A-6m3-MFbar_VHeYEqBj4NH2Y_Tl6KoD7qq


VfMWvRxHzNtAHDWIvZoz1QlWbVRQmdXsN3QfAYtb15H09W1f5wvwzODea8F-IxRU3tVA==].





In Sacramento, Sierra Pacific Mortgage is searching for a VP of Capital


Markets.


 SPM originates loans nationwide, being licensed in 47 states, and has been


in business


25 years. The candidate should have extensive experience in pipeline


hedging, product development, daily price sheet maintenance, post-closing


oversight and investor relations. This position will be an integral part of


the Sierra Pacific Mortgage  Senior Management leadership group as well as


the Sierra Pacific Mortgage Credit Committee. Although it is headquartered


in Northern California, SPM has regional  fulfillment centers across the


country (the position is located at the corporate office in Folsom, CA).


Interested Cap Markets folks should send a resume to CFO Paul Hubbard at







And for folks who'd like to work for a company headquartered in Southern


California, there is more hiring. Carrington Mortgage Services, a retail and


wholesale lender, is looking to staff up in order to handle its


rapidly-growing wholesale lending business. Carrington is looking for


operations personnel as well as sales managers and AE's in the 37 states in


which it is licensed to do business. Interested parties should contact


Carrington's recruiting department at RobCresponce@carringtonms.com


[mailto:RobCresponce@carringtonms.com].   And for those that don't know much


about


Carrington, it now includes more than 80 local real estate, mortgage lending


and  servicing, property management and property preservation offices


nationwide. The Mortgage Services website is CarringtonHomeLoans


[http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=zy6u9cdab&et=1108621514216&s=8721&e=001POofEc


qjL0gTtH9z9KMzyBeo1qX5R6nJcBCOHk7IwgyViVFSp0_MnGNX0J9_ctRDkDM5l-N0ZqTOpin0Cy


0uITbCv5wOsWew8Z-zAuWBC1RfGmUnOxy3ml5Opy1EmzBH].


When it comes to loan amounts, should the "average American support


millionaires"


as some claim? Here is the latest from DC: JawBoning


[http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=zy6u9cdab&et=1108621514216&s=8721&e=001POofEc


qjL0gJSgRGBOgzmb88tKl19MJ80wbmShabLMO0jmRImodlWXVDxlYpM7FQzTqRAdaX43Kdu5mPLw


A8dCrjrhnmuFHqDmV05We1dLxEquNXxR7bATBqJ8RqBjIiTQM75k8jv_4=].





The story above includes information on FHA loans, and there is a growing


"stage  orange alert" about FHA loans and about the entire FHA program.


"...those loans  with the highest likelihood of default are those in which


down payment size, FICO, and DTI, are "layered," or present in combination.


While the FHA has slightly tightened up on layering, the report claims it is


still at risk. While the private sector has mitigated such risk by imposing


stricter guide-lines for low down payment loans, FHA continues to qualify


such borrowers for mortgage financing, putting it at risk of being selected


against." This is included in a new report which can be seen at:


NMPGWFHAStudy


[http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=zy6u9cdab&et=1108621514216&s=8721&e=001POofEc


qjL0iRkkW0AePBNZnjGxAWo8xLiz0xPdYc5vNfIuD7W_GAsjHvuKBBnigA2toRCQURr0Pic3_b_i


bcFCLKLnyOEJ768z70kWZA0dQLmkwOY69NqmQn5AUhlgr8dVwuF01STuGFJ4cqZU69vWkA1J6mLA


t4VbXMUKwZ-l2jhawHSZq5GJn58JwDrZLNU9elkuYqSGmbeuOJLGRuO29t_zYkYSk56_yMX_gSTh


_gRJvh6eje9PcZhWk6zQsb9jAfKK8YhsRJRNk9QPr1qPStgmfbRkfH].





Another study shows that the FHA insurance program is materially


undercapitalized and will require a capital infusion of $50 billion to $100


billion in the next few years - even if housing markets do not deteriorate


any further. The study was written by Joseph Gyourko at the University of


Pennsylvania Wharton School, and is titled "Is the FHA the Next Housing


Bailout?" Describing the FHA present state as precarious, Gyourko says for


the past two years the nation's 77-year old insurer has been in  violation


of its capital reserve regulation. The reserve is supposed to hold


sufficient reserves against unexpected future losses on the insurance it has


issued. To comply with this rule would require a $12 billion capital


infusion in fiscal year 2010,  his research found, and that presumes that


future losses are not being underestimated by FHA. And last year New York


University and the New York Federal Reserve issued a paper warning of the


growing likelihood the FHA would need a taxpayer bailout.





And just to prove that I obtain my news from sources other than People


Magazine,  when things get really slow, I check out the Middle East North


Africa Financial  Network's view of companies like Redwood Trust:


MoneyRoundTheWorld


[http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=zy6u9cdab&et=1108621514216&s=8721&e=001POofEc


qjL0hLLhMFIqWcbGeqA1UGP3i9nn6koaFYu8TdV7sB1PNGIo4EQj-MctMYPktFfyG0FaU247dWsZ


CeETz53QTxyxf0z88zkYxLmkyp7mhGww1GJdnnyYXUGpDYq7ECGmjCzR9BlfFtqklhaBJXYXYXvp


_bQ2Tt7ewlxDAP9oXT0sl-aehp4ZKnTQB8YHWQY1ztKP-Tm8PA6MslOg==].





Deutsche Bank and Citigroup have agreed to pay the US National Credit Union


Administration a combined $165 million to settle allegations the banks


misled five failed credit unions over their purchase of mortgage bonds,


which, per the WSJ, is the first federal recovery of mortgage-bond losses


incurred by collapsed financial institutions. Deutsche will pony up $145


million, Citi $20.5 million. Neither Deutsche nor Citi admitted wrongdoing.


"The five failed lenders, which served smaller credit unions by providing


services such as check clearing, suffered about $30 billion in losses from


poor mortgage investments, said Debbie Matz, NCUA chairman." "Our


investigation indicated there was systemic disregard of underwriting


standards," said John Ianno, NCUA's  associate general counsel for


enforcement and litigation, of Wall Street's mortgage practices.





U.S. Sen. Bob Corker (R-TN) has announced the introduction of the


Residential Mortgage Market Privatization and Standardization Act to


responsibly unwind Fannie & Freddie "and end dependence on the government


for housing finance." The Act would gradually reduce the portfolio of


mortgage-related assets guaranteed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and take


steps to bring uniformity and transparency to the housing market so  that


private capital can begin to replace the GSE's. Corker noted, "We are no


closer to transitioning Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac off government life


support than the  day the firms were taken under direct government control


in 2008."





First off, this is an introduction of a bill, and second, no one expects


anything to happen before November 2012, but it is interesting to see the


elements. For example, it reduces each year the percentage of newly issued


MBS principal that is guaranteed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The


percentage guaranteed must be reduced to zero  within 10 years, at which


point MBS will be wholly privatized. It creates an industry-financed


database that makes uniform performance and origination data on mortgages


available to the public through the FHFA. It initiates a process for


creating deliverability rules and technology necessary for the


"to-be-announced" (TBA) futures market with no government guarantee. It


replaces the QRM and risk retention with a 5% minimum down payment and full


documentation requirement. And it seeks to create a uniform pooling and


servicing agreement (PSA) and a new electronic registration system (MERS


2) where all loans are transferred under one system regulated by the FHFA


and instructs federal regulators to develop uniform practices and streamline


mortgage regulations.





Today is scheduled to be a BIG DAY for the agencies, or at least the


industry is  hoping it is, with the release of HARP 2.0's details. And the


industry hopes that the large investors out there tag along without too many


restrictions and overlays, and that Freddie & Fannie reconcile their


differences in rep & warranty requirements.





But would you buy a pool filled with HARP 2.0 loans? The Financial Times


reports  that, "Officials are considering three main options to support the


new effort.


Their first preference is for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the US-controlled


mortgage financiers, to package these mortgages into a new class of


mortgage-backed securities for sale to private investors, if the pricing is


reasonable. If this fails, Fannie and Freddie could acquire the loans and


keep them on their balance sheets. A third idea mooted in Washington is for


the Federal Reserve to act as a back-up buyer for these mortgage securities.


Such a move is not under active consideration at the central bank. These


loans will continue to be guaranteed by Fannie and Freddie -  and by


extension US taxpayers - so investors will not have any credit risk. But


tax rules make it hard to put 125 per cent loan-to-value debt into regular


mortgage-backed securities issued by the two agencies. If they are issued as


a new class of MBS,  investors may demand a higher yield to reflect the


illiquidity of such a small pool of mortgages - and that cost would


ultimately be passed on to homeowners, potentially negating the benefits of


the program. Remember that severely underwater loans are not eligible to be


put into Fannie and Freddie-backed collateralized mortgage obligations.


Tax rules prohibit mortgages at more than 125% LTV from being placed into


CMOs or real estate mortgage investment conduits.





Impac Mortgage Holdings reported third quarter 2011 net earnings of $3.1


million, up from less than $1 million of earnings for the third quarter of


2010. "During the third quarter of 2011, the Company continued to expand its


mortgage lending activities increasing loan originations and loan sales.


During the three and nine months ended September 30, 2011, the Company


originated $256.6 million and $538.1 million and sold $250.3 million and


$485.5 million of loans, respectively, as compared to $22.1 million of loans


originated in the first nine months of 2010. Consistent with the Company's


strategy, it also increased its servicing portfolio with an increase in


sales of servicing retained loans to Fannie Mae and increases in Ginnie Mae


issuances."





The markets pale in comparison to all this excitement. Yes, there is some


hand-wringing by investors over potential prepayment fluctuations based on


HARP 2.0; much of this is already priced into the market for premium


coupons. There is also chatter about additional MBS purchases by the Fed.


Yesterday the 10-yr barely budged, closing at 2.04%, and rate-sheet mortgage


prices hardly moved either.





Things picked up today in the U.S for economic news, but rates have not


moved. Besides, what differences does PPI coming in at -.3%, with the core


rate unchanged, when entire nations in Europe are financially unstable.


Nonetheless, we did have the PPI, and also Retail Sales (+.5%, ex-auto +.6%,


slightly better than expected), and Empire Manufacturing (+.61% for


November). After the news the 10-yr is nearly unchanged from Monday


afternoon at 2.03% and MBS prices are unchanged as well.





Did You Know This About Leather Dresses?


Do you know that when a woman wears a leather dress, a man's heart beats


quicker, his throat gets dry, he gets weak in the knees and he begins to


think irrationally???


Ever wonder why?


It's because she smells like a new truck.





If you're interested, visit my twice-a-month blog at the STRATMOR Group web


site  located at www.stratmorgroup.com


[http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=zy6u9cdab&et=1106435366068&s=4179&e=001SVt-lj


bp53436QjxD9vbwURtIPPjV05jEcEKyBN3SjS2forXe0C_foO8RjEV-Uye0N7Z_Sh1il0SRXPx6P


jQauayNXQjni-Hc9Sseu-hhZcR1ujeZyAEpw==]


. The current blog takes a look at the impact of HARP 2.0 and the


differences in  the agency's programs. If you have both the time and


inclination, make a comment on what I have written, or on other comments so


that folks can learn what's going on out there from the other readers.





Rob

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