How's
it going with "private money" and mortgage-backed securities? Not so hot. The creation of
MBS is down, as one would expect, and of course cash purchases don't create
MBS, and in fact retire them. Cash deals account for 29% of all sales, according to Bloomberg.
Retiring baby boomers are choosing to own homes outright, as opposed to having
a mortgage. Historically that number has been closer to 20%, but heck, given
the current paperwork and underwriting burden, why would anyone go through the
mortgage process if they didn't have to?
The
reverse mortgage program - specifically the reverse for purchase and the line
of credit for long-term financial planning objectives - is highly
under-utilized. More and more traditional lenders are adding this product
to not only help their customers, but to retain and attract top Loan Officers
and to decrease the cost per loan to originate. As one of the largest
reverse mortgage players in the industry - RMS can help banks, mortgage bankers
and credit unions launch this program through their expertise in training,
marketing assistance, and ongoing support.
Speaking of reverse mortgages, Reverse
Mortgage Daily reports that "Reverse mortgage stakeholders are working
together to delay the impact of Massachusetts legislation that will require
face-to-face counseling for some reverse mortgage borrowers beginning August 1,
and could deter lenders from conducting business in the state. During 2010, an
amendment to a bill was passed into law that included the mandatory provision
for certain low income seniors. Since then, the industry has worked toward
postponing the mandate-succeeding in that effort twice. It is now scheduled to
take effect August 1, following the end of the current fiscal year in
Massachusetts. While the face to face counseling would be required only of
those deemed qualifying as low income, lenders have said one of two outcomes
would take place as a result of the mandate: either all borrowers in
Massachusetts would need to receive the counseling in person or lenders would
cease lending in the state. 'There are housebound seniors, transportation issues,
language issues and a host of restrictions,' says George Downey, founder of
Harbor Mortgage Solutions in Braintree, Mass., noting a past brief face to face
counseling mandate in Massachusetts that brought wait times for borrowers to
two to four months. 'The bottom line is it effectively will shut down reverse
mortgage lending as we have known it in Massachusetts.'"
While the issue is pressing
currently in Massachusetts, it could have implications for other states, like
California, that have also seen legislation introduced-though not
passed-including similar requirements. Currently, North Carolina has mandatory
face-to-face counseling, but also has some state funding available to help
agencies bear the costs involved.
Let's keep going with some
specific product, investor, lender, vendor news. I don't know how folks
keep up with all this!
The WSJ reports that Wells
Fargo is "overhauling its offerings of home-equity lines of credit so
that most new customers will be required to pay principal and interest over the
life of the loan, a significant shift by the nation's largest home-equity
lender. By restructuring the product, Wells eliminates the prospect of future
payment-shock issues. Wells says that it will continue to offer interest-only
HELOCs only for customers with significant assets. While the vast majority of
homeowners today take out first-lien mortgages that are fully amortizing, most
HELOCs allow borrowers to make only interest payments typically for 10
years."
Citibank
Correspondent Lending has
updated general credit policies including pooled funds and calculating rental
income. Loan specific, FHA fixed rate transactions regarding rebuttable
presumptions and safe harbor policies have been updated as well. Contact
your account executive for the most recent bulletin enhancements to Citibank
products.
Caliber Home Loans Inc. has announced the launch of its new Non-Agency Mortgage Program which adds four new products to the company's product line-up. Caliber's new Non-Agency Mortgage Program focuses on the needs of four types of borrowers. It includes Caliber's "Fresh Start" Program (a credit re-establishment program is for borrowers who may have experienced a credit event, but cannot find a program in the marketplace that meets their needs as they re-establish a strong credit history), a Foreign Nationals program that offers greater flexibility to qualified borrowers who are not citizens of the United States and whose mortgage needs are not being met by the market's current offerings, a Non-Warrantable Condos program for borrowers who currently have limited options because they are looking to finance condos in projects that are not currently eligible for loans backed by the government sponsored agencies, and a Non-Agency alternative that offers expanded guidelines and qualifying considerations for asset depletion to eligible, qualified borrowers, including expanded debt-to-income ratios, an interest-only option and no prepayment penalties.
Caliber Home Loans Inc. has announced the launch of its new Non-Agency Mortgage Program which adds four new products to the company's product line-up. Caliber's new Non-Agency Mortgage Program focuses on the needs of four types of borrowers. It includes Caliber's "Fresh Start" Program (a credit re-establishment program is for borrowers who may have experienced a credit event, but cannot find a program in the marketplace that meets their needs as they re-establish a strong credit history), a Foreign Nationals program that offers greater flexibility to qualified borrowers who are not citizens of the United States and whose mortgage needs are not being met by the market's current offerings, a Non-Warrantable Condos program for borrowers who currently have limited options because they are looking to finance condos in projects that are not currently eligible for loans backed by the government sponsored agencies, and a Non-Agency alternative that offers expanded guidelines and qualifying considerations for asset depletion to eligible, qualified borrowers, including expanded debt-to-income ratios, an interest-only option and no prepayment penalties.
Franklin American's
wholesale channel alerted brokers to the ECOA counteroffer clause.
"The Equal Credit Opportunity Act (ECOA) allows financial institutions to
make counteroffers to the applicant when original terms requested would result
in an adverse action. Notification of the counteroffer is required within
thirty (30) days of a completed application (Wholesale utilizes the
underwriting received date to start the 30 day clock) in which underwriting has
received all necessary documentation to evaluate the application for the amount
and type of credit requested. This is the same notification requirement for a
credit decision made on a completed application. Examples of counteroffers may
include: (1) a debt-to-income (DTI) ratio that exceeds agency guidelines and FAMC
counters with lowering the rate to reduce the DTI; (2) the appraised value is
too low and FAMC counters to reduce the loan amount; or (3) if the applicant
cannot meet loan program criteria, then FAMC may counter with an alternative
loan program (a new loan number is required if switching loan types). NOTE:
Counteroffers may include adding a borrower to qualify, but removing a borrower
is not an acceptable counteroffer. If the applicant does not accept or respond
to the counteroffer, the applicant must be provided an adverse action (notice)
based on the original loan terms requested.
AM Tracking Quote
FNMA 4.0% 105.51 now -15 bps
09:31 -15
Open 105.66
Should you Lock or Float? Contact me for Lock Advice!
FNMA 4.0% 105.51 now -15 bps
09:31 -15
Open 105.66
Should you Lock or Float? Contact me for Lock Advice!
Turning to
the Rate Market Report:
Treasuries and MBSs opened
weaker this morning and early activity in stock index futures also weaker. Setting
up for the ECB on Thursday and May employment on Friday; markets adjusting
positions going into what is likely to be a busy Thursday and Friday. Thursday
the ECB is widely expected to announce that it will lower interest rates and
probably a bond buying program. The EU economies, except Germany and France,
are struggling but the big concern is the region is moving toward deflation;
Mario Draghi has made that his major fear. Deflation in the region will further
reduce any economic growth potential. Markets believing Draghi will lower the
18-nation currency bloc’s official rate toward zero and take the deposit rate
negative for the first time. While the central bank’s lending survey showed
conditions for new loans stabilized in the first quarter, lending to companies
and households has been contracting for almost two years.
Euro-area inflation slowed in
May more than economists forecast, cranking up pressure on the
ECB to deploy a range of measures to kindle prices and drive growth. The rate
fell to 0.5% from 0.7% in April, the European Union’s statistics office in
Luxembourg said today. The median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey was for a
decline to 0.6%. The euro-area jobless rate fell to 11.7 percent in April from
11.8 percent a month earlier, according to Eurostat. Economists had forecast an
unemployment rate of 11.8 percent, according to a Bloomberg News survey.
No improvement in China’s
purchasing mgrs. index. SBC Holdings Plc and Markit Economics
reported China’s purchasing mgrs. index at 49.4 in May down from 49.7 in April.
Similar to the ISM manufacturing and service sector indexes, a reading lower
than 50 indicates contraction.
The May employment report on
Friday is expected to show NFP job growth at +213K and private job
growth +215K, tomorrow ADP will report its private jobs data with estimates at
+210K. The ADP report, pending how it is reported, many times causes analysts
to revise the BLS outlook. Based the present forecasts, if they are reported as
estimates suggest job growth in May will be less than April improvements. In
April NFP jobs from BLS were +288K and private jobs were +273K. May
unemployment is thought to have declined to 6.3% from 6.4% in April. The
unemployment rate is largely ignored these days as a reliable indicator of employment;
more are simply dropping out of the work force for various reasons (retirement,
many just giving up looking), if a person surveyed says he/she has not looked
for a job in the last month, he/she becomes invisible as far as the BLS is
concerned. What continues to amaze though, is how much the Fed and media
continue to make out of the unemployment percentage.
At 9:30 the
DJIA opened -34, NASDAQ -12, S&P -5; 10 yr note 2.56% +3 bp and 30 yr MBS
price -17 bp from yesterday’s 24 bp decline.
At 10:00 April
factory orders were expected to have increased 0.5%; as reported orders
increased 0.7% and March orders were revised from +1.1% to +1.5%.
It never hurts to remind; the US
economy is tied directly to global economies, there is no such thing in the world
today of an independent economy. The US growth is tied to how China, Europe,
and emerging markets are doing. Our economy can only grow to a limited degree
if Europe and China are slowing; China is slowing to about a 7.0% growth rate
from 14% a couple of years ago, Europe’s growth is about to go negative and
deflation is a real possibility, reducing any growth potential. Meanwhile the
US stock indexes continue to make new all-time highs with Q1 GDP -1.0%. Q2 is
expected to be positive and economists (those that have about a 35% rate of
success on forecasts) continue to expect US growth at 3.0% to 3.5% this year.
That will not happen—period!
It is unlikely that the
interest rate markets will improve much from present levels this morning unless
the stock market comes under severe pressure, and that is unlikely also.
Interest rates fell faster than the fundamentals suggest without more soft
economic data and that won’t happen unless key reports indicate slowing. The
magnitude of the fall in rates was driven by heavy short-covering from
investors and traders that were betting on rates increasing. Those big
positions have been lessened now. To move rates lower it will take weakening
economic data or some global event that drives investors to safety. For the moment
forget the Ukraine/Russia situation; while still a hot button, there is not
much fear at the moment over what may occur.
http://globalhomefinance.blogspot.com
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