Let's
keep things in perspective. Any investor in fixed income securities has a
wide range of options. Despite poor returns, highly rated companies
issued a record $1.111 trillion worth of bonds in the U.S. last year,
according to preliminary figures from Dealogic. Economic growth helped
boost investor confidence, while rising bond yields helped companies
attract investors. I know that this is a very simplistic look, but you
can see how this compares to daily sales of agency MBS at about $1
billion, or $250 billion a year: one quarter of corporate debt issuance.
I overheard this earlier
this week, regarding a New Year's party: "That was fun - we should
do New Year's more often." My guess is that California and Illinois
are looking forward to changes in 2014. Per Standard & Poors, CA
and IL have the 2 lowest credit ratings of any of the 50 US states.
Anyone buying a 30-yr muni (general obligation) bond backed by the state
of California will earn about 4.75% tax free. Reversing that, it means
that California has to pay 4.75% - how does that compare to a borrower
obtaining a 30-yr fixed rate mortgage?
QM will not help the
credit rating of any states, at least directly, although the end result
is the creation of bonds made up of mortgages given to borrowers who
supposedly will have the ability to repay them. The MBA Compliance
Essentials guides are out, and the QM/ATR guide released just before the
holiday break has been receiving a lot of publicity and sales are pretty
brisk. What makes the program unique is that is lays out a whole
operational implementation framework with checklists, lists of controls
to have in place prior to implementation, and more. The MBA observes,
"We have heard from many members how hard it is to get ready for QM.
This guide can get most lenders, particularly smaller ones 80% of the way
there. The link to buy the guide is here but again, for
$1,000 (assuming you are an MBA member) per 10 copies (the licensed
reproduction allowance) it's a really good tool to make sure you are
ready."
Let's see what folks are
writing to me about recently.
An owner of a New England
independent mortgage banking company writes, "Rob, like most ethical
mortgage bankers, I am sick and tired of trying to compete on an
unleveled playing field. I would like to know why so many lenders
still employ "pick-a-pay" compensation plans for MLOs
wherein a MLO can select his/her level of compensation along with the
corresponding pricing threshold that the MLO must price to. The issue
with this is that in a single office you could have multiple compensation
plans and therefore, multiple pricing thresholds. I was under the impression
that a company's pricing had to be transparent and that Dodd-Frank only
allowed for "regional" pricing differences? Moreover, this has
to be a Fair Lending issue as the rate a consumer ultimately receives is
totally dependent on what MLO they happen to get on the phone. Doesn't
this fly in the face of the spirit of all of this new regulation?"
And regarding the general
state of the industry, and the role of the agencies, from Sacramento
David Ryland opines, "Rob, the dissertation by Scott Chaplin in your
12/28 commentary deflects too much blame upon forces in Washington
DC. I have spent 34 years as a loan originator and, like Scott I
did not follow the herd mentality that swept through our industry in the
first six years of the new millennium. I spoke out against the practices
that would likely end in mortgage default and was astounded by the amount
of pushback I received from other loan officers. I was also surprised by
the deafening silence from industry management. In the wake of those
foolish activities, it is disingenuous to push the blame to the top of
the ladder ("Barney Frank and his cronies"). It also robs us of
any sense of empowerment to effect change. We had the choice of
governance from without, or governance from within. Our present
circumstances are the direct consequence of
abandoning self-governance at all levels. Like Scott, I am
not enjoying the present lending environment. Lenders and consumers are
assumed to be incapable of making sound personal decisions. 'The State'
now tells us all what is permissible and prudent. When things were
becoming overheated a decade ago, I asked myself, 'Where are the
Regulators? Why aren't they shutting down the operations that have
no regard for the financial wellbeing of their customers?' Well, now The
Regulators are here and we have summoned them forth by our failure to
impose self-discipline and restraint. As my mother used to say,
'You made your bed, now sleep in it!'"
Ed Pinto often writes
about the FHA program, and Chris Whalen, Managing Director and EVP of
Carrington Holding Company writes, "Rob, send your readers my retort to
Pinto."
Now that the holidays are
over, let's take a look at training and events in the near future.
The Silicon Valley
CAMP chapter has another important and timely event planned for
January 9, 2014. They will be joined by California Real Estate
Commissioner Wayne Bell, who will be making a presentation about the
Bureau's mortgage lending compliance efforts and upcoming changes
regarding its Enforcement Unit. This event is going to be held in
downtown San Jose at the prestigious Silicon Valley Capital Club located
in the Knight Ridder building. A complete description for the event and
registration Information can be found on the chapter web-site.
The Mortgage
Bankers Association of New Jersey, the New Jersey Association of Mortgage
Bankers, and the Pennsylvania Association of Mortgage Bankers
will be holding a conference call on
QM readiness of January 8th, which will be available for both
members and non-members. Participants are asked to submit questions
beforehand to discuss.
If you're in the
Albuquerque area on January 9th, go listen to Lieutenant
Governor of the State of New Mexico & Jon Barela, Cabinet Secretary
for the New Mexico Economic Development Department. The New Mexico
Mortgage Lenders Association is having a luncheon.
The 11th
Annual Eastern Secondary Market Conference
with exhibits will be held February 5-7, 2013 at the Hyatt Regency
Orlando (easy in and out from the airport). It appears to be quite the
event, and all the conference information can be found on this web site. Dave
Stevens will be there!
The MBA will be
holding its National Technology in Mortgage Banking Conference and Expo
from March 18th-21st in Los Angeles, CA. To
find out more, register, and make hotel reservations, go to MBA.
The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC)
announced the release of four new videos in its third installment of
technical assistance videos to provide useful information to bank
directors, officers, and employees on regulatory issues and proposed
regulatory changes. These videos pertain to municipal securities, the
allowance for loan and lease losses, troubled debt restructuring, and
fair lending. "The video on the allowance for loan and lease losses
or ALLL provides an overview of applicable interagency policy statements,
discusses pertinent accounting standards, reviews measuring impairment
and estimating credit losses, and illustrates an effective loss migration
analysis. This video is intended to assist community bank chief financial
officers, loan committee members, loan officers, and other loan
administration and accounting personnel in developing an adequate
methodology to establish an appropriate ALLL. The video on troubled debt
restructuring or TDR discusses how to identify a TDR, the related
accounting and regulatory treatment, and the multiple note concept. This
video is intended for community bank loan committee members, loan
officers, and other loan administration and accounting personnel. The
video on managing fair lending risk summarizes the fair lending
laws, discusses the concepts of disparate treatment and disparate impact,
and reviews fair lending risk indicators, mitigation strategies, and the
components of an effective compliance management system." The FDIC's
technical assistance videos and additional information can be accessed here.
While we're on the FDIC, for those keeping tabs on
bank closures, the FDIC reports "only" 24 banks closed in
2013. That compares to 51 in 2012 and 92 in 2011. Note that if this
average percentage decline holds in 2014, there would be about 12 banks
closed this year.
And mergers and acquisitions continue in the
banking sector for various reasons: geographic match-up, cost
efficiencies due to increased compliance and regulatory burdens, etc. Here is a list of some recently
announcements - there are some big ones. North Brookfield Savings Bank
($215mm, MA) will combine with FamilyFirst Bank ($52mm, MA) into a larger
entity that will retain the North Brookfield name. Central Bank ($1.2B,
MN) will acquire First National Bank and Trust ($45mm, MN) for an
undisclosed sum. Cornerstone Bank ($1.3B, NE) will acquire Bank of
Marquette ($35mm, NE) for an undisclosed sum. Bank 7 ($333mm, OK) will
acquire The Montezuma State Bank ($99mm, KS) for an undisclosed sum.
Union First Market Bank ($4.0B, VA) will acquire StellarOne Bank ($3.1B,
VA) for an undisclosed sum.
Trust Company Bank ($34mm, TN) will sell two
branches to The Bank of Fayette County ($323mm, TN) in an effort to
reduce expenses and improve capital ratios. Silvergate Bank ($616mm, CA)
has sold a branch to Americas United Bank ($121mm, CA) for a reported
deposit premium of 0.50%. Susquehanna Bank ($18.4B, PA) has sold 30 of
its branch properties to SunTrust Equity Funding for $57.1mm and entered
into a lease agreement through 2028 on 12 properties and 2039 on 18
properties. The move gives Susquehanna a gain of $38mm and boosts its
capital ratios.
And turning to some recent aggregator and investor
news...
Fannie Mae,
Freddie Mac extend "first look" program for
homebuyers competing with cash-rich investors.
Franklin American has
made several updates to its guidelines for Conventional products, the
first being those pertaining to flood insurance for condos and PUD
projects. The master policy must meet FAMC requirements in order
for the loan to be eligible for purchase, and borrowers will no longer be
able to obtain separate policies. This is effective with
applications dated February 1st and after. Interest
credits guidelines have been expanded to increase the minimum number of
days for short pay from seven to ten (for VA and USDSA products in
addition to Conventional), and construction-to-permanent financing
guidelines have been revised to require borrowers to hold title prior to
applying for permanent financing and to allow detached PUDs with
modifications as an eligible property type. Requirements for pooled
insurance have been aligned with the industry standard to state that
pooled insurance policies are not eligible for condos and PUD projects,
replacing previous guidance that allowed attached condos and PUDs.
All of the above are effective immediately.
Per AN 4738, FAMC is
requiring all USDA Standard Refinance transactions to comply with four
new criteria: the interest rate must be reduced by at least 1%, the
existing loan must have closed at least 12 months prior to the current
transaction, the existing loan must be current for the previous 12 months,
and the new PITI must be less than the current PITI.
Effective immediately for
all products, FAMC no longer allows a Power of Attorney on cash-out
refinances, and guidance has been clarified to state that a real estate
agent or anyone affiliated with a real estate agent cannot be named as
POA. The Chain of Title requirements have been expanded to allow
verbiage such as "six-month Chain of Title clear" or
"there have been no documents conveying the land in the last XX
months" in cases where there have been no conveyances.
M&T Bank has
rolled out FHA Plus, its newest SONYMA program. This combines
SONYMA's Down Payment Assistant Loan with an FHA-insured mortgage and
allows the funds to be used towards the borrower's 3.5% minimum cash
contribution, eligible for purchases and rate/term refis. DPAL
offers up to 3% of the home purchase price for purchase transactions and
up to 3% of the lower of the UPB or appraisal value for refinance
transactions. FHA Plus does not require any borrower points or for
borrowers to be first-time homebuyers and does not have any income or
purchase price limits. Regardless of TOTAL Scorecard findings, the
minimum FICO is 640 and the maximum LTV is 96.5, and Homebuyer Education
is required on purchase transactions.
After retiring, I went to
the Social Security office to apply for Social Security. The woman behind
the counter asked me for my driver's License to verify my age. I looked
in my pockets and realized I had left my wallet at home.
I told the woman that I was
very sorry, but I would have to go home and come back later.
The woman said,
"Unbutton your shirt."
So I opened my shirt
revealing my curly silver hair.
She said, "That
silver hair on your chest is proof enough for me", and she processed
my Social Security application.
When I got home, I
excitedly told my wife about my experience at the Social Security office.
She said, "You
should have dropped your pants. You might have gotten disability
too."
And then the fight
started...
If you're interested,
visit my twice-a-month blog at the STRATMOR Group web site located at www.stratmorgroup.com. The current blog is,
"What Do We Know About the Future of the Agencies?" If you have
both the time and inclination, make a comment on what I have written, or
on other comments so that folks can learn what's going on out there from
the other readers.
Rob
(Check out http://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/channels/pipelinepress/default.aspx.
For archived commentaries, or to subscribe, go to www.robchrisman.com. Copyright 2014 Chrisman LLC. All
rights reserved. Occasional paid job listings do appear. This report or
any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without
the written consent of Rob Chrisman.)
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