Monday, August 26, 2013

This Weeks Agenda

http://globalhomefinance.com


What is on the agenda for this week?

Date
Time (ET)
Economic Release
Actual
Market Expects
Prior
26-Aug
8:30 AM
Durable Orders
-
-5.00%
3.90%
26-Aug
8:30 AM
Durable Goods -ex transportation
-
0.60%
-0.10%
27-Aug
9:00 AM
Case-Shiller 20-city Index
-
12.00%
12.20%
27-Aug
10:00 AM
Consumer Confidence
-
77
80.3
28-Aug
7:00 AM
MBA Mortgage Index
-
NA
-4.60%
28-Aug
10:00 AM
Pending Home Sales
-
0.20%
-0.40%
28-Aug
10:30 AM
Crude Inventories
-
NA
-1.428M
29-Aug
8:30 AM
Initial Claims
-
330K
336K
29-Aug
8:30 AM
Continuing Claims
-
2969K
2999K
29-Aug
8:30 AM
GDP - Second Estimate
-
2.10%
1.70%
29-Aug
8:30 AM
GDP Deflator - Second Estimate
-
0.70%
0.70%
29-Aug
10:30 AM
Natural Gas Inventories
-
NA
57 bcf
30-Aug
8:30 AM
Personal Income
-
0.10%
0.30%
30-Aug
8:30 AM
Personal Spending
-
0.30%
0.50%
30-Aug
8:30 AM
PCE Prices - Core
-
0.20%
0.20%
30-Aug
9:45 AM
Chicago PMI
-
53
52.3
30-Aug
9:55 AM
Michigan Sentiment - Final
-
80
80

We have a huge week that is packed full of big-time economic reports, Treasury auctions and more Fed-Speak.

This morning's Durable Goods Orders was much weaker than expected (-7.3% vs consensus estimates of -3.0%).  This weaker data is very positive for MBS and we would have rallied even more if the prior reading wasn't improved from -3.0% to +3.9%).

Of course GDP will get center stage as we get our second revision for this number.

Treasury auctions this week:
08/27 - 2 Year Note
08/28 - 5 Year Note
08/29 - 7 Year Note - most important.

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