Wednesday, September 7, 2011

September 7: Industry observations



[I am away from the computer on a daily basis, and I cannot respond to

e-mails until

September 11th. In my place are daily commentaries from a series of very

knowledgeable

mortgage industry people with different backgrounds, and they have been

given very

little direction about what to write about - the latest is below. Our views

may

or may not coincide, but I thank them for their time in volunteering and

helping

 out.]



I often pick on Rob about his commentary, primarily because I remember when

he was

at Tuttle, where his humor was a bit more locker-room appropriate and his

opinions

were a little more... opinionated.  In asking me to guest write this

commentary,

 I am sure was his way of telling me to put up or shut up.



He left the door wide open and I have been struggling about what I should

pontificate

on.  I received several suggestions:



.        volatility in the MSR's;



.        my experiences with hedging firms from  Tuttle, Compass and finally

MIAC;



.        the upcoming conference in Chicago and the relevance of the MBA;



.        anything about new hedge fund money coming into the industry

(unfortunately

they all made me sign NDA's)



.        The stubbornly high unemployment...



None of these topics did it for me, so on another idea earlier this week. It

was

 a game changer. It involved clandestine meetings, fleets of limos ferrying

executives

to various operations centers for tours, senior executives being recalled

from vacations

to meet with hedge funds.  It was going to be my Marvin

[http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=zy6u9cdab&et=1107447260300&s=8721&e=0019325KX

S2CUDpZ8QBt9YxgXk67dxEpk0ZzZh_MxiaPNxd65Xr55j8N-N0U8RjK9-zkWZuyTIWglItmD7t_p

H-kTaFXTV3OsGym0XuFB2sxhtBmL8fKQCJmKGaYVNhysTPDoRcNnZYIS8=]

 Zindler - Chicken Ranch story

[http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=zy6u9cdab&et=1107447260300&s=8721&e=0019325KX

S2CUDpZ8QBt9YxgXk67dxEpk0ZzZh_MxiaPNxd65Xr55j8N-N0U8RjK9-zkWZuyTIWglItmD7t_p

H-kTaFXTV3OsGym0XuFB2sxhtBmL8fKQCJmKGaYVNhysTPDoRcNnZYIS8=].

 Alas, the great investigative power of the Wall Street Journal and Inside

Mortgage

Finance robbed me of my 15 minutes of fame.



I am sure Bank of America didn't like being outed by the WSJ, but anyone

paying

attention knew something was up. I never expected BAC to stay in

correspondent lending

in the first place. They stepped out of the market years ago, and only

inherited

 the CLD channel with the Countrywide bailout.



Many critics say a correspondent channel distances an institution from the

borrower,

and the reps & warrants are only as good as the counterparty.  As a mortgage

banker

and correspondent lender I am obliged to disagree.  I am hopeful that BAC

finds

a committed buyer for their platform or that at least someone like Flagstar,

MetLife,

Franklin American or Aurora will step up and try to fill the 24% market

share void

left behind.



We try and do considerable amount of forward looking planning here at

Opes... we,

like many mortgage bankers, are always trying to be ahead of the curve in

our planning.

 Some in this industry might look at this as an opportunity to build out

their own

servicing portfolio. A great resource is the MBA, which recently published a

white

paper on the subject

[http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=zy6u9cdab&et=1107447260300&s=8721&e=0019325KX

S2CUAr3cWYk0wddI7iYI8d9cGyoPf5VwGB-DEWvKb-V-RUSzyjaLwDXqkY5VFtW-hGvN3_Er_Ft1

e_UXQ5IQl4J_ZSa-HUvGtonsN2tVo5VA25t1giMWooG1iKT1tjoZAa4NPKKmFa0Ld5d6w7m9ofL1

BzouDocPbHJdtZLbNHc99dSnKhbhuNtUkH].



Rob is currently in South America, I assume trying to unravel the mystery of

the

 Mayan calendar.  He often tells me I can be "retired" like him but only

after spending

another decade or two defending my pricing strategy and dealing with pull

through,

lock renegotiations and regulatory changes.



Occasionally when I speak with originators, they express concern about the

effects

of LQI and similar initiatives.   On August 19th, FNMA updated their FAQ on

the

subject -- it's worth a read.



How do you take something that is inherently complex, always subjective and

surprisingly

fluid and improve the quality? According to FNMA you focus on "facilitating

a match

between the loan file data and the delivery data in both the loan

origination and

loan delivery processes." That's code for saying they want to make sure what

you

 say you did is exactly what you did. This is a conversation I often have

with my

four-year-old son JP.



I will leave you with one last thought. This month we saw:



.        the ^TNX drop below 2%.



.        unprecedented declaration from the Fed about rates.



.        S&P downgrade of US debt



.        And the swelling pipelines and bulging bellies of mortgage bankers.



All this news gave many of us a gift of production.  Yet I look forward and

I know

"winter is coming." I hope that we all have enough deliberate practice,

dedication

and mentorship to make it through.



I asked Rob to take a look at this before I was complete. He said; "A little

more

about who you are. You have a very good perspective on the business, and the

audience

needs to know it."



I never like talking about myself.  I thought maybe I could share something

of myself

by writing about a few of the mentors and coaches who have helped me along

the way.



Lennart Wahlquist. When I went to work for this guy in 1994, I didn't know

what

a "1003" was. He made me read every seller's guide starting with Saxon,

Impac, then

ALS.  My first retail loan was for my sister. (We were a wholesale shop.) He

made

me come up with the difference when I was floating her price and in one day

the

market sold off. Two weeks later the price was back to where I wanted it. He

made

me eat the lock. This taught me two things: 1) Never promise a borrower and

not

deliver. 2) Never blow a lock at a lender for a better price.



Nancy Corlett (Carter).  Nancy ran me into the ground at Aurora Loan

Services (Lehman)

- I never worked so hard in my life. (That said, we were in San Diego, where

mandatory

office attire included board shorts and flip flops.)  No matter how late we

were

 out the night before with clients, Nancy was in the office by 6:00 the

following

morning.  I learned the value of hard work and dedication; her drive to grow

the

 business is the strongest I know.



Susan McHan.  A little over six years ago she invited me into her company

(Opes

Advisors) to run secondary and eventually capital markets.  At this small

business

headquartered in Northern California, never a day goes by where I don't

learn something

new.  She has grown Opes from about 15 to over 300, and she cares for each

one of

us.  She reminds me of that when I start to complain about giving free lock

extensions

or price concessions.  Here I learned the most important lesson about

operating

with care and concern for everyone.



John Boyles



Opes Advisors






Rob



If you're interested, visit my twice-a-month blog at the STRATMOR Group web

site


[http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=zy6u9cdab&et=1106435366068&s=4179&e=001SVt-lj

bp53436QjxD9vbwURtIPPjV05jEcEKyBN3SjS2forXe0C_foO8RjEV-Uye0N7Z_Sh1il0SRXPx6P

jQauayNXQjni-Hc9Sseu-hhZcR1ujeZyAEpw==]

. The current blog takes a look at the recent news sweeping the MBS investor

market

regarding a new mass refi plan by the government. If you have both the time

and

inclination, make a comment on what I have written, or on other comments so

that

 folks can learn what's going on out there from the other

readers.http://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/channels/pipelinepress/default.aspx

[http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=zy6u9cdab&t=mejaqmhab.0.epg7qedab.zy6u9cdab.8

721&ts=S0672&p=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.mortgagenewsdaily.com%2Fchannels%2Fpipelinep

ress%2Fdefault.aspx]


[http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=zy6u9cdab&t=mejaqmhab.0.v7uif6dab.zy6u9cdab.8

721&ts=S0672&p=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.thebasispoint.com%2Fcategory%2Fdaily-basis].

For archived commentaries, go to www.robchrisman.com

[http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=zy6u9cdab&t=mejaqmhab.0.fpg7qedab.zy6u9cdab.8

721&ts=S0672&p=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.robchrisman.com%2F].

Copyright 2011 Rob Chrisman.  All rights reserved. Occasional paid notices

do appear.

This report or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or

redistributed without

the written consent of Rob Chrisman.)



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