Tuesday, December 9, 2014

What 97% LTV means for LOs and Lenders; Eminent domain in San Francisco?



 

No one wants to see their companies and future employment batted around in the press, but perhaps our brethren and Freddie and Fannie are accustomed to it by now. Michael Stegman, the Treasury Department's top housing policy official, said the responsibility lies with Congress to end government conservatorship of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. "The only way to responsibly end the conservatorship is through legislation," Stegman said. Please note the article discusses "conservatorship" and not "eliminating"! And both announced their 97% LTV programs - see below.

"To help expand access to mortgage credit, we are introducing Freddie Mac Home Possible Advantage, a responsible mortgage option that offers more flexibility for maximum financing. Today's Single-Family Seller/Servicer Guide (Guide) Bulletin 2014-22, provides the requirements for Home Possible Advantage mortgages. This new offering primarily adopts the responsible and affordable flexibilities of Freddie Mac Home Possible® mortgages, but with additional requirements that include, but are not limited to the following: Maximum loan-to-value (LTV) ratio of 97 percent and total LTV ratio of 105 percent, the mortgage must be a fixed-rate mortgage secured by a 1-unit property other than a manufactured home. Mortgage insurance coverage of at least 18 percent for mortgages with LTV ratios greater than 95 percent, and maximum debt payment-to-income ratio of 43 percent for manually underwritten mortgages. Home Possible Advantage will be available for mortgages with Freddie Mac settlement dates on or after March 23, 2015."



And on Fannie part we saw, "In support of ongoing efforts to expand access to credit and support sustainable homeownership, Fannie Mae will offer up to 97% LTV/CLTV/HCLTV financing to help home buyers who would otherwise qualify for a mortgage but may not have the resources for a larger down payment, and to support refinance of existing Fannie Mae mortgage loans. Fannie Mae is providing multiple options to help lenders serve creditworthy borrowers and expand business opportunities. Selling Guide Announcement SEL-2014-15 details the requirements and policy changes. The 97% LTV ratio updates will be available for loan casefiles underwritten through Desktop Underwriter® (DU®) Version 9.2, which will be implemented the weekend of Dec. 13, 2014. Review the updated DU Version 9.2 Release Notes for more information. Additional details and resources are available on the FannieMae.com 97% LTV Options page including a fact sheet, FAQs, and a video overview."

To sum things up the new product is largely geared towards the first-time purchase borrower, although a non-cashout refinancing option exists as well. The announcement is certainly a shot across the bow of the FHA, particularly for borrowers with better credit, which should result in adverse selection for FHA loans. It should also have a positive impact on credit availability on the margins as it lowers the cost for a high LTV loan. Yes, only fixed rate loans with terms up to 30yr are eligible, the home must be the primary residence, at least one of the borrowers should be a first-time home buyer (only for Fannie Mae) while Freddie Mac stipulates that borrowers must not have any ownership interest in any other home, the loan balance must be lower than the area loan limit (only for Fannie Mae), borrowers' annual qualifying income must not exceed 100% of the area median income or the income multipliers for designated high cost areas (only for Freddie Mac), they have a private mortgage insurance requirement of 18% coverage, and so on. And there is a cost in the form of loan level price adjustments: an additional 0.5% LLPA for Fannie over regular LLPA for 95-97 LTV and for Freddie Mac, the LLPA varies between 1% and 1.5% for 95-97 purchase mortgages and is set at 1.75% for refinance mortgages.



LOs were quick to send me notes that it is likely that a better credit borrower would most likely opt for a Fannie or Freddie loan over FHA loan given substantial savings in mortgage payments. (The product bears a striking resemblance to the former product of the same down payment.) This should lead to adverse selection and worsening credit quality for FHA loans. It should also have a positive effect on credit availability on the margins as it lowers the cost for a high LTV loan, especially for first time purchase borrowers. From an investor's perspective the new program should have a limited effect on refi speeds of existing high LTV loans. These loans, even in the past, could always refinance with help of PMI once their current LTVs dropped below 95% LTV. Also the new 97% LTV program does not offer all-in rates that are significantly different from that. Also, it will affect loans that are currently in the very tight window of 95-97% LTV.



Just when investors thought it was safe to back into the markets, San Francisco is looking at using eminent domain. Jody Shenn with Bloomberg writes, "San Francisco may become the biggest U.S. city to use its development powers to help homeowners avoid foreclosure, partnering with another California community whose own plan has come under fire from investors. The proposal from a member of San Francisco's Board of Supervisors would use eminent domain to take over loans on property with a market value below the mortgage amount. A lawmaker says it would help minorities in the city of about 837,000, while some officials see the move increasing borrowing costs and discouraging investors. If the proposal succeeds, the city would join nearby Richmond, which is seeking municipal partners in the effort. Lawmakers in California's San Bernardino County, as well as in Chicago and North Las Vegas, Nevada, considered and abandoned the idea. Such a program in San Francisco would 'likely be negatively perceived by financial markets, insurers, other financial intermediaries and potential investors in the city's bonds,' Sesay and Ben Rosenfield, the controller, said Oct. 6 in a memo to Mayor Ed Lee and the 11-seat Board of Supervisors."

Moving on to something more constructive, the markets were abuzz from news via the FHFA regarding Fannie & Freddie's programs. As Mortgage News Daily noted, "Each will permit loans with as high as a 97 percent loan to value ratio with certain compensating factors. Both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac's loans must be secured by a single family owner occupied property. Only fixed-rate loans are eligible and manufactured housing is not acceptable collateral. At least one borrower must be a first time homebuyer and median income eligibility levels apply. The GSEs are also requiring a form of homeowner education, the type and duration of which varies between them."



Turning to the markets, mortgage-backed securities (MBS) did pretty darned well Monday. Not only did Treasury rates drop and prices improve (the 10-yr was better by .375), but agency MBS prices improved relative to Treasuries by about .125. It was all supply (not very strong) and demand (investors want them). The 10-yr closed Monday at 2.26% and this morning, with no scheduled news, we're down to 2.24% and agency MBS prices are better a smidge.

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