Thursday, January 26, 2012

January 26: Mortgage jobs continue; forecast on FHA compare ratios; MetLife chatter; the importance of contingency plans for lenders

Wanna save money? Let our professionals show you the benefits of refinancing today! Apply http://globalhomefinance.com/apply.php !


I was speaking to my 88-year old dad the other day on the way to Costco for

a hot dog lunch. (No, this is not elder-abuse - he actually likes them.) I

told him, "Dad, I am helping a company with a HUD license" and he replied,

"How could a whole company have head lice?" Ah, to be 88...



PERL Mortgage, already a nationwide lender, is expanding - particularly in

Illinois and the Midwest. Currently licensed in 14 states (including AZ, CA,

CT, FL, MA, and MI), PERL is seeking individuals, and/or teams of

professionals, "who have the desire to excel and be the best at what they

do." PERL Mortgage has been around for 18 years, and has 140 employees

including a sales team of over 60 Mortgage Advisors who consistently

originate greater than 1 billion dollars in mortgages annually.

  The company has recently brought on 25-year veteran Mark Daly as

SVP/National Sales Manager. Inquiries pertaining to PERL Mortgage, its sales

team, or expansion can be emailed to mdaly@perlmortgage.com

[mailto:mdaly@perlmortgage.com] and for  more information visit


[http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=zy6u9cdab&et=1109147985061&s=8721&e=001A8b6nV

xJhlusUMbbDR3nSqkdM5-lsAuYCcaziDqtfgVRUpWDIJ332hol2eWelvFUDOE9G5o7GV6JSt9J4V

RALFUmX_eYw9N0YdPX7N8b0HoZcC7rOR_Fxg==].

Out west, Intercap Lending is expanding both its wholesale and retail

channels.

The lender, headquartered in Irvine, CA, is a FNMA and FHLMC seller/servicer

as well as a GNMA issuer that services its own loans.  The wholesale channel

is seeking experienced inside and outside wholesale AE's to call on brokers

in California, Texas and Washington. The retail channel is recruiting

experienced LO's for its Irvine office.  "Both channels have ability to go

direct to FNMA, FHLMC and GNMA, which insures the highest capture rate for

our Mortgage Bankers and the ability to go outside the normal conduit box

(no bank overlays), and the company's fully  matured hedging process

provides the sales force with the best pricing available."

 Interested parties should contact Jim Storm at jstorm@intercaplending.com


Obviously PERL and Intercap are on the upswing, while MetLife is...not. I

have received several e-mails asking if they are "collapsing" (would that

surprise anyone) and  wondering if anyone is going to be around much longer

to handle clean-up issues.

Here is some chatter

[http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=zy6u9cdab&et=1109147985061&s=8721&e=001A8b6nV

xJhlvUfzURY5QXqUPSl-sqgVqHOU2Bm3uGWYTOxYjrtrND83rURypc2vB2Dy_6kGEpoHASyjE2km

7E4TbnWvOSHm0q3yub2FBi7xcp6ADY2XouXk0cm3S6av5De967PH6Y7N2Pz8pWAiWf6ev7OgbVDl

Uc_8LYzzfcja35nw2mC2_vZQuVKz0bjcYMxYU8PdpaF7ic_3FAXjhN1yer8x9aQrytT8U6yLAv9u

7KssWO7hBa4D7U4I03wW_QfA4RrYRRUcmTxqwdBohGEZhnpbDTfWTm4m0YC1Y-UWge10WQKvuwVJ

3kc3JQBj-f].



I receive my fair share of grumbling about various companies all the time

(especially those that seem to blatantly disregard the LO comp rules), but

the murmurs about  MetLife are steadily growing in significant numbers.

"Nobody is selling loans to them currently - that would be foolish. And on

the back end, they are not fulfilling their obligation to us and funding

loans in a timely manner.  MetLife is exiting  the industry with disgrace.

They had some of the best rates but now they are not funding and they are

setting up clients loans incorrectly.  All of our contacts have changed and

they are unable to tell us any updates.  We are receiving findings from

loans closed in January and they are not focusing on the loans from

December.

It is a mess." And another note: "Have you heard anything on what is

happening at MetLife?  They appear not to be funding loans, and when they

are it is after asking for things they don't need.  We still have loans from

December that are not being funded.  Our warehouse bank is backed up with

all of their clients that have MetLife

loans as well...   They are beyond acceptable timelines and we can get no

answers...

  Are we watching a TBW event unfold?  Are they out of capital?"

That being said, a memo sent out by a regional MetLife sales executive

noted, "Great News!!! I was just informed by our management that we will be

at 15 days or less  for loan reviews by next week - January 31st. We now

have 44 underwriters with more coming on board and we should be working thru

your pipeline very quickly. You should be seeing a daily incremental pick up

in reviews as we get caught up over  the next 7 days. Hopefully we'll have

minimal pends at time of review and can fund your loans immediately. However

if we pend a loan, please expedite return of those requested items so we can

fund the loan without any additional delays. I will keep working with your

shipping departments until all loans have been addressed and your pipelines

are clear."



It must be tough for lenders who only sold to MetLife, which reminds us that

it is good to have a back-up plan. When was the last time you checked those

batteries in your flashlight? (Yeah, same with me.) But having backup plans

is very important to any mortgage company, and I received this note from Len

Tichy, a principal at

 STRATMOR: "Rob, a number of our clients are asking for help and advice in

setting up contingency plans -- being able to continue doing business if

something goes wrong is a big concern for management. Not just disruption

caused by your 'garden variety' disaster like fire, flood, or earthquake,

but from unusual events you might not normally think about. For example,

last August's outage of pricing engines froze many lenders -- they couldn't

generate rate sheets or take locks. They don't want that to happen again,

and wonder what vendor or internal system might be next. Whether it's a

multi-day catastrophe or a 30 minute power outage, it doesn't matter.

Companies need to understand the most critical risks of failure inherent in

their key systems and the best path, or 'roadmap', to mitigating those that

have the greatest potential to disrupt operations -- in underwriting,

pricing, secondary marketing, servicing, whatever -- and in the Company's

other dependent business units. This is especially true for lenders who have

been growing and who intend to grow more. They may have made earlier

disaster recovery planning choices that need to be re-visited but have been

too busy or inappropriately staffed to do justice to the problem." I know

that Len's had a lot of experience setting these up - if you're interested

shoot him an e-mail at len.tichy@stratmorgroup.com




Analysts continue to ruminate on President Obama's announcement that he will

send Congress a plan that will allow responsible homeowners who are current

on their payments to save $3,000 a year on their mortgage by refinancing. If

this plan requires Congressional approval, it will probably have a very low

likelihood of succeeding in 2012. And investors wonder if this plan impacts

mortgages securitized in the agency MBS market (FN/FH/GN MBS), mortgages

securitized in the non-agency MBS market, or mortgages on bank balance

sheets in unsecuritized form. Changes to help underwater borrowers refinance

that could be made without Congressional approval, however, such as further

easing of HARP, further streamlining, eliminating LLPA's, or further

reducing buyback risk were seen as having a better chance.



Not that what anyone says in the mortgage industry matters anymore in

Washington, but the FHFA director is likely to argue against a mass refi

program of agency mortgages considering that such a program could actually

hurts the retained portfolios of the GSE's by up to $30-$35 billion. But

what if the government cuts the GSE's preferred dividend payment to make up

for some of it? Still, existing investors won't be in favor of it. And what

if, in some miracle, the government used some of the $25 billion-or-so in

the proposed settlement between the bank and the state AG's to fund a plan?

Stay tuned - maybe the government will just use that money to help fund the

temporary  payroll tax cut extension a few more months.



The FOMC spoke. "The Committee decided today to keep the target range for

the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and currently anticipates that

economic conditions--including low rates of resource utilization and a

subdued outlook for inflation over the medium run--are likely to warrant

exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate at least through late

2014. The Committee also decided to continue its program to extend the

average maturity of its holdings of securities as announced in September.

The Committee is maintaining its existing policies of reinvesting principal

payments  from its holdings of agency debt and agency mortgage-backed

securities in agency mortgage-backed securities and of rolling over maturing

Treasury securities at auction.

The Committee will regularly review the size and composition of its

securities holdings and is prepared to adjust those holdings as appropriate

to promote a stronger economic recovery in a context of price stability."

This FOMC announcement turned some heads, especially if overnight rates stay

low  for 2-3 more years. (Remember - overnight rates are set by the Fed,

longer terms rates like mortgages are set by supply and demand.) Banks must

continue to survive in a low rate, low margin environment for an even longer

haul - healthy banks will have to learn to subsist off lower earnings and a

sub-optimal return on capital.

 Watch for them to continue to cut expenses and move business units around,

especially with the specter of Basel III hanging over the industry. And the

consumer can certainly expect to earn near 0% on, or even pay for, their

checking accounts.



The announcement that overnight rates will stay low through 2014 certainly

moved  the fixed-income markets. The 10-yr T-note shot up by 1.25 in price,

but then only ended the day better by about .5 at a yield of 2.01%. MBS

prices were marked higher by nearly 3/8s of a point on 30-year 3.5s, while

5.5s and 6s were basically unchanged on the day. On the housing front we

received mixed signals Wednesday with NAR's Pending Home Sales Index

dropping more than expected (still having contract failures) but the FHFA

reported home prices unexpectedly rose 1% in November (on Fannie & Freddie

loans).



This morning we've had Durable Goods for December +3.0%, stronger than

expected,  and Jobless Claims +21 from 356k to 377k. Later we have Leading

Economic Indicators and a $29 billion 7-yr note auction. In the early going

the 10-yr is at 1.95%, and MBS prices are better by .125-.250.



The room was full of pregnant women with their partners. The class was in

full swing.

The instructor was teaching the women how to breathe and was telling the men

how  to give the necessary help and assurance to their partners at this

stage of the  pregnancy.

She said, "Ladies, remember that exercise is good for you. Walking is

especially  beneficial. It strengthens the pelvic muscles and will make

delivery that much easier." Just pace yourself, make plenty of stops and try

to stay on a soft surface like grass or a path."

She looked at the men in the room, "Gentlemen, remember -- you're in this

together.

It wouldn't hurt you to go walking with her. In fact, that shared experience

would be good for you both."

The room suddenly got very quiet as the men absorbed this information.

After a few moments, a man named Larry at the back of the room slowly raised

his  hand.

"Yes," said the Instructor.

"I was just wondering if it would be all right if she carries a golf bag

while we walk?"



If you're interested, visit my twice-a-month blog at the STRATMOR Group web

site  located at www.stratmorgroup.com

[http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=zy6u9cdab&et=1106435366068&s=4179&e=001SVt-lj

bp53436QjxD9vbwURtIPPjV05jEcEKyBN3SjS2forXe0C_foO8RjEV-Uye0N7Z_Sh1il0SRXPx6P

jQauayNXQjni-Hc9Sseu-hhZcR1ujeZyAEpw==]

. The current blog discusses residential lending and mortgage programs

around the world. If you have both the time and inclination, make a comment

on what I have written, or on other comments so that folks can learn what's

going on out there from the other readers.



Rob



(Check out


[http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=zy6u9cdab&t=ffj5f4iab.0.epg7qedab.zy6u9cdab.8

721&ts=S0720&p=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.mortgagenewsdaily.com%2Fchannels%2Fpipelinep

ress%2Fdefault.aspx]


[http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=zy6u9cdab&t=ffj5f4iab.0.v7uif6dab.zy6u9cdab.8

721&ts=S0720&p=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.thebasispoint.com%2Fcategory%2Fdaily-basis].

For archived commentaries, go to www.robchrisman.com

[http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?llr=zy6u9cdab&t=ffj5f4iab.0.fpg7qedab.zy6u9cdab.8

721&ts=S0720&p=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.robchrisman.com%2F].

Copyright 2012 Rob Chrisman.  All rights reserved. Occasional paid notices

do appear.

This report or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or

redistributed without the written consent of Rob Chrisman.)

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

~~~~



Join My Mailing List

[http://visitor.r20.constantcontact.com/email.jsp?m=1102827910937]



~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

~~~~

Forward email







This email was sent to bcahoone@globalhomefinance.com by




Instant removal with SafeUnsubscribe(TM)


TmggCt&t=001I0ePumysrUaHgx7YIK0axg%3D%3D&llr=zy6u9cdab





Privacy Policy:






Online Marketing by

Constant Contact(R)






Chrisman Inc. | 326 Mission Ave. | 326 Mission Ave. | San Rafael | CA |

94901

No comments:

Post a Comment