"How's
the diet going?"
"Not
good. I had eggs for breakfast."
"Scrambled?"
"No,
Cadbury's."
Wow! Americans have regained most of the wealth lost when the real
estate bubble burst. Homeowners' equity has more or less doubled since the
lows of 2009. Since 2013, real estate has outperformed the S&P 500 by 16
percentage points. Always good to have a diversified portfolio, right? Let's
hope the Millennials are participating in this to some degree...
In
other company-specific news, ABA Community Bank Mortgage LLC, a
subsidiary of the American Bankers Association, has selected BOK Financial
Correspondent Lending as its newest secondary market investor. "With
this selection, ABA Community Bank Mortgage LLC owner banks can sell
agency-eligible and jumbo loans on a servicing-released basis to BOK Financial
and access their full line of fixed rate, ARM and affordable lending
products. In addition, BOK Financial represents and warrants
contractually with each client that they will not cross sell their borrowers
any bank products and will refer their mortgage customers back to them in the
event they contact BOK and wish to engage in a new transaction."
Plenty
of companies offer USDA rural home products to their clients. Given that in
this industry nothing ever remains constant for long...
The
USDA has issued an 80-page document with 72 "clarifications", 48
"new" rules and one they deleted for a total of 121 changes. Karen Deis writes, "www.MortgageCurrentcy.com's USDA expert spent almost 25
hours coming up with the list. We have broken it down into bullet points to
make it easier to understand, including the "interpretation" of how
it will affect borrower qualifications and underwriting of the loan. These
changes went into effect on March 9 so if LOs have any files in pre-approval
status or have not yet been submitted, we recommend that you make sure the
borrowers still qualify. The clarifications are exactly what lenders
needed-easier to understand. But they added 48 more rules to the latest version
of the handbook.
"Here
are a couple of examples of just a few of the more significant ones. New -
Discount points may be financed for ALL applications (Used to be just for
low-income borrowers). New - Military applicants (still in service) are no
longer required to provide evidence of discharge within 1 year. They only need
to sign and "intent to occupy" form. New - Lump sum payments/deferred
payments from Social Security are EXCLUDED from annual income calculations. New
- Only two trade lines are required to validate a credit score (Used to be
three). Clarification - Business losses are considered "zero" for
annual income qualifications. Clarification - Applicant is ineligible for loan
is outstanding federal judgments (other than IRS). Deleted - The requirement to
recalculate a credit card payment that has been used to charge their
application fee has been removed. And 114 more!
"A
new security role of "Lender Agent" that was created by USDA Rural Development
for participating lenders. Once designated as a "Lender Agent" - a
User will be authorized to establish applications, order new and re-issue
existing credit reports and request preliminary underwriting recommendations on
behalf of an approved lender. Although this is a baby-step in the right
direction, one glaring difference between FHA & VA loans, with those
administered by the USDA, is that RHS-guaranteed loans must ultimately be
approved by USDA staff. Under HUD/FHA's Lender Insurance Program (which currently
accounts for over 70% of its single-family business), approved Direct
Endorsement (DE) lenders can process, underwrite, close and insure FHA loan
transactions - all without prior review by HUD staff.
In
accordance with VA's imposed additional QM requirements for IRRRL
transactions, M&T has updated its VA QM requirements, as
reflected on the VA IRRRL Product Pages. Effective
immediately for pipeline and new applications, and required
compliance no than Wednesday March 9th. In regard to USDA loans,
effective immediately, loans closed with a lender credit or seller concession
must include an itemization of the specific fees paid by the credit or
concession. Each item must be listed separately, include a description of the
fee and the amount paid. Just listing the fee line is not sufficient.
ditech
has begun purchasing United States Department of Agricultural (USDA)
Section 502 Guaranteed Rural Housing loans (GRH). Only delegated Correspondent
clients who have been approved as lenders by USDA and ditech are eligible to
participate in this program.
Effective
immediately, M&T Bank Form 2161 - USDA Addendum to Application is no
longer required. The borrowers are required to list all Household Members
on page 3 of the USDA Form RD 3555-21, and their signature on page 2 of
RD3555-21 is sufficient acknowledgment that the financial information
presented on the form and application is accurate.
Plaza Home Mortgage now
supports the new GUS Lender Agent security role announced by USDA on Dec. 8, 2015. Brokers who become a
Lender Agent will have access to create applications, order new or reissue
existing credit reports and complete preliminary GUS submissions. To become a
Lender Agent with Plaza, register to gain access to GUS by following these instructions.
While
I am droning on about rural loans, values in those areas are changing. We've
seen a rapid rise of the value of agricultural land to record levels over the
past few years but those values have not only begun to flatten, but have
already decreased in many cases. Meanwhile, with commodity prices having fallen
between 40% and 50% since hitting their peak in 2013, the income that farmers
rely on to repay agricultural loans has declined and is expected to fall even
further. That is one reason why regulators are increasing their focus here as
community banks continue to take action.
Rural
community banks in particular have significant exposure to agricultural loans.
Of the 5,412 community banks with assets under $10 billion, as of the end of
Q2, about 1,889 had a proportion of agricultural loans well above the national
average of 17.4%, according to a recent Fed study. The study also found the
median assets of these banks was $104 million, with the largest number located
in IA, followed by IL, KS, NE and MN.
The
research also found the value of farmland (which serves as collateral for the
majority of the loans held by community banks with high agricultural
concentrations), soared between 2004 and 2014 - averaging YOY gains of 8.4%
during that time. In fact, in real terms, land for crops in the Midwest became
more expensive during that period than at any other point within the past 50
years, including the period before the Farm Crisis in the 1980s. If history is
an indication of what declining values of commodities could mean for banks,
community banks may need to take further action and regulators will certainly
be taking a closer look on the next exam cycle.
Steve
Brown from PCBB notes that, "The research points out that like the recent
escalation in the value of agricultural land, a similar rise occurred in the
mid-to-late 1970s. Back then, such properties saw strong YOY growth that
occasionally climbed above 10%. But when the value of that same land dropped
27% (40% in real terms) by 1987, the fallout for community banks was significant.
Between 1982 and 1988, roughly 200 community banks with significant
agricultural exposure even failed.
"Still,
on the whole, the researchers conclude that there would not be a material
change to the capitalization of the majority of banks specializing in
agricultural lending even after all of this and only a subset of banks would
experience significant losses. Expect regulators to continue to monitor this
closely so community bankers should be prepared."
Upcoming
events?
The California
MBA is conducting a March 17th webinar, "Life After
MSA's".Hear from expert observers what others are doing, and find new
strategies that can strengthen your brand. Additionally, hear about a brand-new
technology just days away from launch. Free registration is available now.
Check
out Sierra Pacific Mortgage's Market Power Series hosted by Kelli
Brookman. On Friday, March 18th. from 11-12 PST Brian Traichel will expand your thoughts regarding LinkedIn.
The class will show how to find leads, expand your network and think about
using LinkedIn as a lead generation tool rather than just a recruiting
tool. Whether you are a social media beginner, intermediate or expert this
informational webinar offers valuable resources and tools to help you navigate
and build relationship using LinkedIn as a functional day-to-day sales strategy
platform. This session is open to all and you can save your seat by registering
here.
FHA
underwriting and appraisal review trainings are available for registration now.
Space is limited and based on first come first serve. FHA Underwriting, March
23rd on-site at HUD Detroit Field Office. Register here. FHA Underwriting, April 6th
on-site in San Antonio. Register here. FHA Appraisals, April 7th on-site
in San Antonio. Register here. FHA Underwriting, April 12th on-site
in Oklahoma City. Register here. FHA Appraisals, April 13th
on-site in Oklahoma City. Register here.
Beginning
March 22nd, MBA will be providing a 2-part webinar series on
Warehouse Lending. For details and registration information, click here.
Even
though MBS traders don't really use the 10-year T-note as an exact proxy for mortgage
rates, it is still easy to do. And we're up near 2.00% again. Last week began
well but then prices sank and rates moved higher after Tuesday. Most of the
news came from overseas: the European Central Bank gave investors plenty to
digest on Thursday when it outdid markets' expectations for further monetary
stimulus. Next Wednesday's FOMC rate decision is virtually guaranteed to be no
change to Fed funds, but investors will eye the accompanying statement closely
for clues regarding the future path of policy normalization.
For
news this week there's a decent chunk - whether or not it outweighs whatever
happens in Europe, China, or the price of oil remains to be seen. We have zip
today. Tuesday includes February Retail Sales, February Producer Price Index,
March Empire Manufacturing, and the March NAHB Housing Market Index. Wednesday,
after the MBA's application numbers, we'll have February CPI, February Housing
Starts and Building Permits, February Industrial Production and Capacity
Utilization, and the March FOMC Rate Decision - look for no change. Thursday
has Initial Jobless Claims, March Philadelphia Fed, and the Q4 Current Account
Balance - whatever that is. Friday we wind down with the March Michigan
Sentiment number.
We
wrapped up last week with the 10-year sitting at 1.98%.
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