(Thanks
to Stephen S. for this one.)
A
grandmother was pushing her little grandchild around Walmart in a buggy.
Each
time she put something in the basket she would say, "And here's something
for you, Diploma," or "This will make a cute little outfit for you,
Diploma," and so on.
Eventually
a bewildered shopper who had heard all this finally asked, "Why do you
keep calling your grandchild Diploma?"
The
grandmother replied, "I sent my daughter to Virginia Tech and this is what
she came home with!"
Research
by RealtyTrac finds the percentage of homes that were bought and sold within 12
months (i.e. flipped) soared to 5.5% of all homes, reaching a 10 year high.
Shame "flipped" has the connotation that it does.
Training
and upcoming events just don't stop, including one early this morning...
Join
Data Facts today, March 21 at 10AM EDT, 7AM PDT, for a complimentary
webinar 'Changes in Residential Lending that Should be on the Radars of
LOs to CEOs.' I am honored to discuss interest rates, "Know Before You
Owe" issues, the merger and acquisition environment, marketing service
agreements, hiring Millennials, the continuing QM versus non-QM discussion,
measuring borrower satisfaction, using trended credit data, and more.
Your
chance to be part of the Most Visionary Organizations in the Mortgage Industry
in the April edition closes soon. National Mortgage Professional Magazine is
seeking a few good Visionary Organizations in the Mortgage Industry. If
you're one of the companies that's changing the mortgage industry, this is your
chance to share the original vision and where the company is headed with the
mortgage community. The deadline is Wednesday, March 23. Learn more here.
Are you geared up for Vegas? Join the National
Association of Mortgage Professional Women April 18-20 for its annual
conference at The Luxor Hotel & Casino. Details and
registration is available here.
Take a break and join Oklahoma Mortgage
Bankers Association's event
"Take a Break". This event is designed to give back to the industry. Featuring
James Carley- CFPB Southeast Region Director along with David Lykken -
Transformational Mortgage Solutions and Natalie Hunt - Director, Strategic
Product Management, Single Family Division, Fannie Mae. The event
will be held starting tomorrow, Tuesday, 3/22 from 1:00 - 5:00pm in Oklahoma
City, OK. For additional information and link to register email Carol Clark.
Based
on continuing review of TRID practices and feedback received from past TRID
webinar attendees, AmeriHome is presenting a new TRID webinar series to
further clarify TRID requirements and provide more in-depth information
designed to address areas of Seller interest. New Webinar Schedule is
listed below, registration is available here.
Wednesday,
March 30, 10AM PDT, Thursday, April 7, 11AM PDT, and Wednesday, April 13, 11AM
PDT.
Join the CFPB Tuesday, April 12 at 2PM EDT
for a 60-minute webinar to answer some frequently asked questions about the
Know Before You Owe mortgage disclosure rule. The webinar will be hosted
by the Federal Reserve. Click here to register for the webinar.
Even
inside the industry we can't agree on the impact of TRID.
Ellie
Mae's February Monthly Origination Insight Report, released last week, showed a
significant drop in loan closing times from 50 days to 46 days. The
report also indicated that credit was easing given the increase in closing rate
from 68.4% to 69.9%.
But
wait - the MBA's fourth quarter survey of independent mortgage banks (and
mortgage subsidiaries of chartered banks) found a drop in profitability
from $1,238 per loan in the third quarter of 2015 to $493 in the fourth - down
60%! The MBA's Marina Walsh, who always has all the bases covered, said that,
"Mortgage bankers saw their total loan production expenses climb to $7,747
per loan, from $7,080 per loan in the third quarter. (Total loan production
expenses are commissions, compensation, occupancy, equipment, and other
production expenses and corporate allocations.)
The
fourth quarter marked the second highest level of production expenses per loan
since the inception of our report in the third quarter of 2008. However, the
average production volume per company was nearly double the first quarter of
2014, when production expenses reached a study-high of $8,025 per loan. The
increase in total production expenses per loan in the fourth quarter of 2015
cannot be explained solely by volume fluctuations."
The
MBA also found that productivity decreased to 2.4 loans originated per
production employee per month in the fourth quarter of 2015 compared to 2.5 in
the third quarter. Personnel expenses averaged $5,131 per loan, up from $4,674
per loan in the third quarter.
The "net
cost to originate" was $6,163 per loan compared to $5,549 the prior
quarter (all production operating expenses and commissions, minus all fee
income, but excludes secondary marketing gains, capitalized servicing,
servicing released premiums, and warehouse interest spread). Total production
revenue (fee income, secondary marking income and warehouse spread) remained
unchanged between quarters at 362 basis points.
The
TRID & overall regulatory plot continues to thicken. The National Association of Federal Credit Unions released
President and CEO Dan Berger's letter to House Financial Services Committee
Chairman Jeb Hensarling (R-Texas). Berger wrote, "Unfortunately, many of
our concerns about the increased regulatory burdens that credit unions would
face under the CFPB have proven true...As expected, the breadth and pace of the
CFPB's rulemaking is troublesome, and the unprecedented new compliance burden
placed on credit unions has been immense...The assertion that credit
unions are not being negatively affected by the tidal wave of overregulation
arising from CFPB and Dodd-Frank could not be more wrong. Director Cordray's
denial that the tide of regulation is not contributing to the continued trend
of credit unions being forced to cut back on member services, merge or go out
of business flies in the face of facts."
And
the NAFCU reminded us that since the second quarter of 2010, we have lost over
1,350 federally-insured credit unions, 96% of which were smaller institutions
below $100 million in assets, the NAFCU added in a statement.
The
American Bankers Association weighed in with its thoughts on TRID based on a
survey of its members. Are the regulators listening? "Banks are still
struggling to comply with the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau's 2015
TILA-RESPA Integrated Disclosure rule, or TRID, according to an American
Bankers Association survey. The survey, conducted in February of this year,
found that 25 percent of respondents have eliminated certain mortgage products
because the rule does not provide enough clarity. Some of the offerings banks
have eliminated include construction loans, adjustable rate mortgages, home
equity loans or payment frequency options.
More than 75 percent of survey participants said loan closings are being delayed as a result of TRID. On average, those bankers reported a delay of 8 days with responses ranging from one to 20 days. More than 90 percent said front-boarding and loan processing times have increased.
More than 75 percent of survey participants said loan closings are being delayed as a result of TRID. On average, those bankers reported a delay of 8 days with responses ranging from one to 20 days. More than 90 percent said front-boarding and loan processing times have increased.
"Although
residential originations fell by roughly 15 percent in the fourth quarter on a sequential
basis, warehouse lenders saw their commitments inch up slightly, according to
new figures compiled by Inside Mortgage Finance. At Dec. 31, warehouse banks
had extended an estimated $49.0 billion of commitments to non-depository
lenders, a 2.1 percent sequential gain. Compared to yearend 2014, commitment
levels rose a handsome 28.9 percent. Part of the reason for the increase in activity
- especially year-over-year - can be explained by nonbanks continuing to
increase their origination market share and, therefore, their thirst for
credit. Before interest rates tanked in early January, most warehouse
executives were bracing for a down year, but some officials are starting to
hear their telephones ring with requests for new credit. Several managers
interviewed by Inside Mortgage Finance confirmed that warehouse
profitability has increased thanks to delays in loan closings caused by the integrated
consumer-disclosure rule known as TRID."
But
John Jacobs responded, "I have challenged these authors at Inside Mortgage
Finance regarding this false statement about warehouse lines having
increased dwell time because of TRID, but they just don't get it. I told
them a loan is not in the line until it closes. Having delays due to TRID in
getting loans closed, does not increase warehouse hold times. TRID may be
responsible for delays in getting loans sold, but that is not what they
continue to claim. And these guys are experts?"
Andrew
Liput from Secure Insight sent, "In a survey conducted March 7th through
March 14th of 1,342 mortgage industry executives nationwide regarding the
impact of TRID and the new Closing Disclosure on their lending business, the
responses were informative. The overwhelming majority of lenders we polled
were prepared for TRID, and have trained their office staff to support the
completion and delivery of the new consumer disclosures (93%), although the
fact that 7% of those polled were "not aware of CFPB TRID
obligations" and "not full TRID compliant at this time" was
somewhat surprising several months after the new disclosures became mandatory
throughout the industry.
"The
impact of the new Closing Disclosure on lender-settlement agent business
relationships, something we focused upon, was positive. Lenders rated their
experience working with settlement agents on the disclosure roll-out as
generally very good. More than 80% of the poll respondents indicated that they
had created specialized training programs for their agent partners to help
ensure a smooth transition to the new disclosure form. As we found when we
polled agents recently, the biggest complaint lenders had was centered on
increased operating costs. Over 57% of respondents have experienced
'significant operational cost increases' while 36% saw some increase. These
costs are impacting budgets, staffing needs and consumer rates and fees. Unlike
our poll of agents however, lenders seemed to feel the new disclosures have in
fact had a positive impact on the consumer experience, with 82% stating that
they felt they Closing Disclosure had a 'positive impact on the overall
transparency and efficiency of the closing process.'"
And
lenders are still addressing the issues. For example, from LDWholesale Ginny
Walker writes, "On the heels of ClosingCorp's consumer survey where 64 percent of respondents said it was
easier to get a mortgage under the old rules rather than TRID, I wanted to
share with you that LDWholesale is working to make the TRID process
easier. We have updated our website to include consolidated TRID-related
information and training materials in one convenient online Resource Center: visit the Resource Center and download answers to TRID
FAQs."
Turning
away from TRID and toward interest rates, tor news this week we have a fair
amount under the "housing" group. Today at 10AM EDT we have February
Existing Home Sales. Tomorrow is the January FHFA Housing Price Index.
Wednesday includes the MBA Mortgage Index and February New Home Sales. Thursday
is the usual Jobless Claims but also February Durable Goods Orders. Friday is
the Q4 GDP and GDP Deflator numbers - the third estimate.
To
keep things in perspective, in 2016 we hit a low on February 11th of
1.64%; we closed Friday at 1.87%. We've chopped around here yield-wise for
quite some time, and some pretty smart folks out there are saying there isn't
much to move us one way or another. And this morning we're at 1.88% and
agency MBS prices are roughly unchanged from Friday's close.
Epic Research recommends for Indian market as well as Global market, that news are very supportive for traders in investment.
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