Basically, it's made up of two
separate words, mank and ind.
What do these words mean? It's
a mystery, and that's why so is mankind.
FHA, VA, and USDA changes? Tons.
Last week we noticed that Ginnie Mae volumes had passed Freddie Mac, so the
absence of big banks doing that business was certainly taken up by
non-depository lenders. But where does the program, and Ginnie issuance, go
from here?
Bose George with KBW
did a fine piece on thoughts about the likelihood of a premium cut by the FHA
at its recent Mortgage Finance Conference. "Given the large (50 bps) cut
in January 2015, the FHA's ability to cut rates meaningfully is somewhat
limited, in our view. While we estimate that roughly 15% of private mortgage
insurance volume could theoretically be at risk, we believe that there are
significant offsets. First, roughly 20% of FHA business is still being written
in the over 720 FICO bucket and we believe that a meaningful portion of this is
likely to move back to the GSEs over time. Also, if payments are fairly close,
lenders are likely to choose a GSE execution. Finally, we think the impact of
the FHA rate cut last year was fairly small and industry NIW data overstated
the impact because of the large pick-up in FHA-to-FHA refinance activity, which
did not impact IIF."
In other words, an FHA
cut Is possible but not inevitable given that there is no broad coalition to do
so. "Before the FHA premium cut in 2015, there was broad industry pressure
for a cut... The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) has said that the level of
the FHA premium is not an impediment to credit availability through the FHA.
Also, while the FHA capital level is above the 2% minimum, the capital ratio
for the traditional FHA (forward) mortgage program was only 1.6% at the end of
FY2015. The total capital of 2.1% was boosted by a 6.4% capital ratio in the
HECM (reverse mortgage) program, and the FHA annual report noted the volatility
of capital in that business and suggested that it might make sense to separate
out capital requirements for the two programs.
"The current FHA
premium is currently 80-85 bps, down from 130-135 bps before the rate cut in
January 2015. The average annual premium pre-crisis was 50-55 bps. So if
premiums are cut again, we believe that the floor is likely to be the
pre-crisis premium level, which would suggest a 30 bps reduction. The upfront
premium remains at 175 bps and that number was 150 bps pre-crisis, so a change
would have no meaningful impact. Finally, there has been discussion about
making FHA cancellable again. We believe this is less likely. It is an
infrequently used option by borrowers but one that would have a negative impact
on FHA capital."
The report goes on,
saying that a longer term share shift away from the FHA program should
continue. "Roughly 20% of FHA mortgages are made to borrowers with a FICO
score over 720 and we estimate that over 20% (roughly $250 billion of FHA
insurance in force) is 720+ FICO, largely originated in 2012-2015. We expect a
meaningful part of this book of business to shift to the MIs over time...Most
large banks have sharply reduced their exposure to the FHA. We think this
makes the market somewhat less efficient since bigger banks will prefer a GSE
execution if there isn't a meaningful difference in the rate to the borrower.
This should allow the MIs to be more competitive in the borderline buckets
where FHA might have small advantage just based on borrower payments."
But the FHA hasn't been
sitting on its hands. It revised its troubled-loan program, aiming to keep borrowers
in homes. Changes could reduce the amount of money
investors are willing to pay for the mortgages, critics say. The Obama
administration is making changes to a program that sells distressed mortgages
to investors that will make it easier for borrowers to stay in their homes but
could also cost taxpayers money. The changes, announced by the Federal
Housing Administration on Thursday, require investors to prioritize reducing
the amount borrowers owe on their mortgages before moving to other options such
as reducing interest rates.
FHA's Mortgagee
Letter 2016-09, Delivery of
Advice of Payment and
Title Approval,
announced the elimination of hard copy mailings of Advice of Payment and
Title Approval letters to holders and servicers, with certain exceptions1,
as the information is available electronically through the FHA Connection
(FHAC) system. FHA will discontinue the hard copy mailings on June 28, 2016.
elimination of the hard copy mailings of the two letters does not change the
FHA requirement that the information be maintained by the mortgagee in the
mortgagee's Claim Review File.
Sun West
recognizes that in order to improve the services to FHA borrowers with credit
scores below 640, specialized analysis is necessary to accommodate more home
buyers in this end of the credit spectrum. As a result, Sun West has created a
set of Comprehensive Credit Review Guidelines to assist in
the substantive review of these borrowers. If the loan has a DU Approval or an
LP Accept (i.e. FHA Total Score Card), Sun West will continue to rely upon the automated
approval along with the Comprehensive Credit Review Guidelines to evaluate the
borrower's special circumstances, such as payment history, savings pattern,
re-established credit history after financially adverse events, extenuating
circumstances, and any documentation related to extenuating circumstances.
As of July 1st,
Wells Fargo price adjustors for non-conforming loans updates will effect
loan amounts >=1 MM to show a price improvement of 0.125. A price worsening
of 0.125 for loan amounts >417,000 to <=625,500 will be applicable. Also
beginning July 1, 2016, the following government adjusters will originate as
Loan Level Price Adjusters (LLPAs) rather than adjusters to Servicing Release
Premium (SRP): Best Effort Government Non-Owner price adjuster (0.500)
and FRM FHA/GRH Refi price adjuster (0.125). Mandatory Government Non-Owner
price adjuster (0.500) and Fixed Rate FHA/GRH Refi price adjuster (0.125).
Adjuster amounts are not changing.
Peoples Bank (KS) has revised its FHA and VA Guidelines. Revisions
include: FHA purchase transactions will maintain a minimum FICO Score of 620,
however, an exception down to 600 will be allowed if approved by National
Underwriting Manager or Director of Mortgage Credit/Risk, AND meet two required
compensating factors. Streamline Refi's will allow No
Income/Credit Qualifying - down to a FICO Score of 600 - for all eligible
Investors. FHA High Balance loans minimum FICO Score has been reduced from 660
to 640. Its VA IRRL program has a reduced minimum FICO Score down to 600 for
all eligible Investors. If Recoup period exceeds 36 months - Income
verification is not required IF it meets the No Income
Requirement Guideline stated on the VA Matrix. VA IRRRL's are no longer allowed
to be brokered due to Recoup Period issues. VA Cash Out program has a reduced
minimum FICO Score to 600, to any eligible Investor, with a DU Approve/Eligible
or LP Accept/Eligible on loan amounts up to $417,000.
Banc
Home Loans isamenable to underwriting FHA and VA loans
for our delegated clients, such as: FHA Back to Work, Manufactured Housing,
Renovation Loans (203K, FNMA HomeStyle), AUS Refers, FHA FICOs to 580, VA FICOs
to 600 and Joint VA loans. Find out more by
visiting its website.
M&T requires,
on all FHA transactions, both standard and limited, to have the following
language included within the security instrument recorded for the transaction,
not the Rehab rider: "Provisions pertaining to release are contained in
the Rehabilitation Loan Rider is a required modification to the security
instrument on all 203(K) transactions.
Sun
West Mortgage's 203k Consultant approved list has been reviewed and must be adhered to
prior to ordering any Consultant services or making any agreements with the
Consultant or the borrower.
In USDA news, Freedom
Mortgage Corporation announced that its acquisition of the origination assets
of JPMorgan Chase's Rural Housing business has been completed. After
months of preparation and transition since the acquisition agreement was
announced in April, the business unit is fully operational as Freedom Rural
Housing as of July 1. "The newly renamed unit will continue to provide
funds to suit the unique requirements of USDA residential customers nationwide
through the correspondent team that was in place during its ownership by
JPMorgan Chase. Over 90 employees have joined Freedom Mortgage's team in
the acquisition. Affecting about 80 percent of the land area and 20 percent
of the population of the United States, USDA mortgage volume totaled over $22
billion in 2015, according to government figures."
AmeriHome's USDA
Guaranteed Rural Housing Program Guide has been updated with guidelines changes
per USDA announcement on May 26, 2016, and effective on June 2, 2016 "for
all commitments issued by USDA." Guideline changes impact both
AmeriHome's USDA and USDA Streamline products.
Ditech Financial LLC
spread the word to its clients that under the USDA Non-Streamlined Refinance
program, the USDA will no longer require that the interest rate on the
refinance loan be at least 1% below the interest rate of the original loan. The
new rate must now be less than or equal to the rate of the loan being
refinanced. Please refer to the product summary for all product restrictions.
As of June 24th, Flagstar updated its
USDA product. Updates included overlay requiring minimum of three trade lines
to validate credit score has been reduced to two trade lines. In addition, the
previously required 1% interest rate reduction on refinance transactions now
only needs to be at or below the existing rate. Also, the overlay that did not
allow non-permanent resident alien to be considered eligible borrowers has been
revamped. These borrowers may now be considered eligible.
Franklin American spread the word to its clients that, "As per the
Rural Development Single Family Housing Guaranteed Origination announcement
dated April 28th, 2016, advance notice was given of the upfront guarantee fee
and annual fee structure that will be effective for the Single Family Housing
Guaranteed Loan Program in the fiscal year 2017. The fiscal year 2017 begins
October 1, 2016 and ends September 30, 2017. Upfront Guarantee Fee: 2016 Fiscal
Year: 2.75% Current (ends September 30, 2016), 2017 Fiscal Year: 1.00%
effective with Conditional Commitments issued on and after October 1, 2016.
Turning
to interest rates, the end of the refi boom long predicted by experts is not
very near. Let's hope everyone had a "safe and sane" 4th
of July holiday. And now we're confronted with another week's worth of
scheduled economic data. And lenders are seeing margin calls from
broker-dealers with the shift in MBS prices. Jobs and housing make up the
lion's share of the U.S. economy, and this week the focus will be on jobs.
But we start today with
Factory Orders. Tomorrow are the mortgage application numbers from last week
along with the May Trade Balance and some Markit figures of small significance.
Of greater interest will be that afternoon's release of the meeting minutes
from the Fed's get-together in mid-June. Thursday the 7th will be
the ADP Employment Change stats along with Initial Jobless Claims. And then Friday
is the Big Daddy: Nonfarm Payrolls, the Unemployment Rate, and Hourly Earnings.
We are, this morning,
down to a yield of 1.39% on the 10-year risk-free T-note, and agency MBS prices
are generally better by .250 depending on coupon. The "risk off"
trade is back, with, you guessed it, continued nervousness about the impact of
the UK eventually leaving the European Union. That will take years, but until
then...
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