(Part 3 of 4 of "If you
are from the northern states and planning on visiting or moving to the South,
there are a few things you should know that will help you adapt to the
difference in lifestyles.")
The first Southern expression
to creep into a transplanted Northerner's vocabulary is the adjective
"big' ol," truck or "big' ol" boy. Most Northerners
begin their Southern-influenced dialect this way. All of them are in
denial about it.
Elliot writes, "What about
the saying 'I am fixing to'? As in, 'Being from Brooklyn and spending over two
years in Birmingham, AL, I was fixing to hang myself.'"
The proper pronunciation you
learned in school is no longer proper.
Be advised that "He needed
killin" is a valid defense here.
If you hear a Southerner exclaim,
"Hey, y'all, watch this," you should stay out of the way.
These are likely to be the last
words he'll ever say.
If you think regulatory trends
aren't influencing businesses, big and small, think again. In the latest
"big" example, insurance company MetLife said it will sell or spin
off most of its retail group as it seeks to avoid being classified as a systemically
important financial institution (SIFI). Such designation requires more onerous
regulation and increased costs, so MetLife is seeking to restructure parts of
the company. MetLife is the largest life insurer in the US and has $2.5T in
policies written and $350B in assets under management. Speaking of which, Dodd-Frank measures are about 70% complete. The Obama
administration has one year to finalize 123 of the 390 rule-making mandates in
the Dodd-Frank Act. "Nearly all of the major rules under Dodd-Frank have
been written, and we are focused on building on the progress we've already made
and seeing implementation through," a representative for the Treasury
Department said.
In other lending industry news
California's Blend secured $40 Million in Series C Funding. "Blend, the Silicon Valley technology company,
announced it raised $40 million in Series C funding led by Founders Fund.
Lightspeed and Formation 8 are existing investors participating in the round.
Blend will use these funds to continue to recruit top engineering talent and
bring its platform to more lenders to originate efficient, data-driven
mortgages. Blend CEO Nima Ghamsari said, "We've built a flexible product
that reduces the data collection burden for borrowers and speeds up processes
for lenders while retaining airtight digital compliance...A single mortgage
costs over $7,000 to originate. Each year the industry spends billions on
largely repeatable and automatable tasks. Through Blend, originators can reduce
that cost while maintaining compliance and delivering an elegant, digital
experience to borrowers in weeks."
While we're on lender
news, Standard Mortgage Corporation's Executive Vice President testified
on January 13th to the U.S. House of Representative Financial
Services Subcommittee on Housing and Insurance's. The hearing focused on
"How to Create a More Robust and Private Flood Insurance Marketplace"
and examined the National Flood Insurance Program to allow for review of current
government flood insurance model and other changes that could positively impact
the flood insurance market.
For fans of quality
control - and who isn't? - here's a chance for Quality Control personnel to
have some fun and win some prizes. The first ever "Mortgage Quality
Control Bowl" began on the 11th and go through February 5th.
During this period, any quality control professional can sign-up to
participate. The "bowl" will consist of reviewing a group of loans
and identifying the problems found in them. Participants will then explain
their rationale for the identified problems. Easy to do! Entrants
will have 4 weeks to complete the files and will be able to stop and return at
their convenience. The entire bowl game will be played confidentially on line
and can be completed anywhere. And of course there are prizes! The top 7
finishers will be awarded gift certificates and they will be awarded the week
following the end of the contest. Anyone who wants to participate they can contact
Becky Walzak or
Richard Hornaday.
Turning to banking, since
banks are certainly a potent force in lending, we've seen a spate of earning
announcements lately as well as smaller banks finishing their books for
December and for 2015. Established and larger community banks appear to be
doing much better on several fronts than bigger banks, and they have done it by
sticking to their business of handing out loans to worthy businesses operating
in local communities.
In big bank earning news
we can check in and see if any of their 2014 vs. 2015 trends apply to the
smaller lenders out there. JPMorgan saw its net income rise 12%) with a 0.99%
ROA (+11%) and end the year with $2.4 trillion in assets (-9%). It has 5,413
branches (-3%), 17,777 ATMs (-2%), 39.2 million active online customers (+8%)
and 22.8 million active mobile customers (+20%). Wells Fargo had an unchanged
net income (+0%) with a 1.32% ROA (-9%) and $1.8 trillion in assets (+6%).
Wells has plenty of branches (8,700 locations), 13,000 ATMs (+4%), 26.4 million
active online customers (+7%), and 16.2 million active mobile customers (+14%).
Speaking of big banks with both retail and correspondent channels, US Bank saw
its net income rise by 1%, a 1.44% ROA, wrap up the year with $422 billion in
assets (+5%). US Bank has 3,133 offices (-1%) and 4,936 ATMs.
Using Wells as a bell
weather indicator given its market share, Wells Fargo reported that its 4Q15
mortgage volumes fell by 15% quarter over quarter but was up 7% Y/Y. The
decline was evenly distributed in both correspondent and retail, and is more
modest than the 25% Q/Q decline reported by Chase. The Gain on Sale margin was
down very modestly Q/Q: gain on sale margin was down very modestly at 183 bps,
down from 188 bps in 3Q. The company took a positive MSR rate mark that was a
little over 4% of the prior quarter MSR balance. The Q/Q decline reported by
WFC was better than the 25% Q/Q decline reported by JPM. It looks like industry
mortgage volume in the 4th quarter is likely to fall by more than
the 8% decline forecast by many.
On its earnings call
JPMorgan commented on the new TILA-RESPA integrated disclosure (TRID) changes.
JPM noted that the new TRID regulations extended cycle times by a few days
during the 4th quarter. JPM stated that the extended cycle times did
not affect their financial results. The company stated that volumes were a
little lower than they would have been absent TRID, but the extended cycle
times did not affect their financial results due to how they recognize revenue.
Most mortgage banks recognize revenue upon rate lock and not when loans close.
Switching gears to the
proper abbreviation for "Alternative Settlement Statement", from
Virginia Titleworks' president Becky Taylor wrote to say, "We call the
Alternative Settlement Statement or the American Land Title Association 'ALTA'
approved Settlement Statement - just 'ALTA'." Thanks Becky!
K&L Gates
published an article citing the ten fundamental lessons all businesses
should consider regarding their online presence. Businesses should first be
aware of what they are agreeing to when establishing a social media presence.
Not only are businesses obligated to comply with the terms of use and privacy
policies, each social media network has additional contracts for businesses. If
you have your own website but utilize social media plug-ins, or log-in credentials,
a different contract will be applicable. It's also important to know who has
content or data rights, a general rule of thumb is that businesses own its own
content, but businesses may grant the social media platform or users a variety
of licenses or permissions that can impact value, including value of business'
data. The entity creating content generally owns the copyright and posting it
on businesses' page doesn't transfer the copyright or create a license for
re-using the posting - this would have to be done via contracts.
The Basel Committee on
Banking Supervision has unveiled updated trading-book rules for major banks. The rules include a 40%
increase in capital requirements on swaps, bonds and other securities,
effective in 2019. Speaking of foreign themes, Societe Generale SA is pulling
back from the U.S. mortgage-bond business just two years after building out the
unit!
Looking at the actual
markets one day of calm is as good as it gets. Tuesday saw a sedate session in
relative terms. The 2.08% level on the US 10-year T-note proved a great staging
ground for the market and we bounced sharply off of that level in early NY
hours. But we had a big rally last night as "overnight risk off resumed in
aggressive manner overnight with crude and Asian equities getting smashed.
Yes, bonds are off to the races
after U.S. equity index futures fell with European and Asian stocks. The
oil/commodities slump continues with crude at the lowest since Sept. 2003.
European stocks opened down following poor performance in Asia after
disappointing data from China. We are back below 2% on the 10-year - who
guessed that? The 10-year note has broken well below the year-long uptrend
yield line and has been contained multiple times by long term support. Going
back a year the 10-year traded at 1.66% and is at 1.98% currently after closing
2015 at 2.27%.
And this morning stocks
are "in the red" everywhere. There isn't a specific fundamental
reason or "headline" but instead equities globally remain stuck in a
vicious negative feedback loop. Crude oil continues to sink (there was no major
oil-specific news in the last 12-18 hours). We've already had the news for the
day: the Consumer Price Index was -.1%, below expectations, Housing Starts were
-2.5%, and Building Permits were -3.9% - not good news. Not that anyone
cares about economic news anymore. Let's not forget that the Mortgage
Bankers Association let us know that apps for last week rose by +9.0% led by
refis +19% (purchases dropped 2%). We had a 2.04% close on the 10-year and this
morning we're at 1.98% with agency MBS prices better between .250-.50.
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